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Sanford Class A South
Projected final record 3–6 · projected #7 seed · full projection →. A season-simulation projection, not a prediction.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class A South, top 4 qualify · all divisions →
Still in contention. With 5 games to play, Sanford can finish as high as #1 and as low as #7: the playoff cut runs right through this team.
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
Games that matter most · if the higher-rated team wins every game, Sanford is the #7 seed
These are the games whose result moves Sanford's seed the most (every other game held at the rating's pick). Each column shows who wins and where Sanford lands.
| Date | Game | Sanford's seed if… | …or if… |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 10/10 | vs Scarborough | Sanford wins → #6 out | Scarborough wins → #7 out |
Sanford's own games are in bold; "other game" rows are matchups Sanford isn't in but that still move its seed (Crabtree counts opponents' records). Open the full simulator →
Championship chances · projection, week 4 · all divisions →
Simulated from the power ratings: how often Sanford wins the bracket across thousands of season runs, not a betting number. A projection, not advice; to win state a team must first win its region.
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 | Marshwood Class B South | L 27–50 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/11 | at Windham Class A North | L 7–28 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/18 | at Noble Class A South | L 8–48 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/25 | Massabesic Class A South | L 6–28 | Recap → |
| Fri 10/2 | South Portland Class A South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Sat 10/10 | at Scarborough Class A South | 1:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/16 | at Thornton Class A South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/23 | Bangor Class A North | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/30 | at Bonny Eagle Class A South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Marshwood | 4-0 | yes |
| Windham | 2-2 | yes |
| Noble | 2-2 | yes |
| Massabesic | 3-1 | yes |
Own win% = 0 / 4 = 0.0000
Opponents pooled = 11 wins / 16 games = 0.6875
Crabtree = (0.0000 + 0.6875) × 100 = 68.750
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 1.000, tournament index 0.0000 over 9 scheduled games.
niftiIQ power rating
-5.1 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -16.1 to 5.9) · rank #34 among 11-man teams · est. 0% chance of being the top-rated team in Class A South, est. 0% in all of 11-man
4 games of evidence; 20% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average A team, -4.8 from where the program finished the last two seasons). A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
| Game | Result | Moved the rating |
|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 Marshwood | L 27–50 | -1.6 |
| Fri 9/11 at Windham | L 7–28 | -0.9 |
| Fri 9/18 at Noble | L 8–48 | -1.7 |
| Fri 9/25 Massabesic | L 6–28 | +0.2 |
"Moved the rating" = today's rating minus what it would be if that game had never happened (everything else re-solved). A big number on one game is worth a second look at the score.