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South Portland at Sanford
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Alumni Stadium
South Portland team page Sanford team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: South Portland, est. 95%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class A South Crabtree
Where Sanford and South Portland can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #5 to #7 · Loss: #7
With a win: best is #5 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Windham beats Bonny Eagle; Edward Little beats Scarborough; Gorham beats Cheverus.
Likeliest way also has Marshwood beats Falmouth.
Even with a loss: best is #7
#7 no matter what else happens this week.
Win: #4 to #5 · Loss: #5 to #6
With a win: best is #4 est. 38% chance
Has to happen Massabesic beats Noble.
Likeliest way also has Falmouth beats Marshwood; Cheverus beats Gorham; Thornton beats Portland.
Even with a loss: best is #5 est. 99% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 8 other games this weekend: Bonny Eagle at Windham, Scarborough at Edward Little, Noble at Massabesic, Marshwood at Falmouth, Westbrook at Biddeford, Deering at Kennebunk, Portland at Thornton, Gorham at Cheverus. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- South Portland won 2 of the last 3 meetings
- Sanford has lost 4 straight
South Portland this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Bonny Eagle | L 14–21 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Thornton | L 21–35 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Scarborough | W 20–13 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Cheverus | W 27–20 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Sanford | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Massabesic | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Noble | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Winnacunnet (NH) | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Portland |
Sanford this season
| Thu 9/3 | vs. Marshwood | L 27–50 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Windham | L 7–28 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Noble | L 8–48 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Massabesic | L 6–28 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. South Portland | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | at Scarborough | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Thornton | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Bangor | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Bonny Eagle |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Sanford 0, South Portland 41 |
| 2024 | South Portland 35, Sanford 15 |
| 2023 | South Portland 20, Sanford 31 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do South Portland and Sanford play?
South Portland plays at Sanford on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Alumni Stadium.
Who has the better chance, South Portland or Sanford?
South Portland. Our power rating gives South Portland an est. 89% chance to win, by est. 21 points.
What is South Portland's record and Crabtree place?
South Portland is 2–2 and #5 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Sanford's record and Crabtree place?
Sanford is 0–4 and #7 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Sanford's playoff seeding?
With a win, Sanford finishes the week between #5 to #7 in Class A South; with a loss, between #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Sanford still be #7 in Class A South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Sanford can finish the week #7. Our rating puts that at est. 100%.
What does this game mean for South Portland's playoff seeding?
With a win, South Portland finishes the week between #4 to #5 in Class A South; with a loss, between #5 to #6, depending on the week's other results.
Can South Portland still be #5 in Class A South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, South Portland can finish the week #5. Our rating puts that at est. 99%.
Who won the last meeting between South Portland and Sanford?
South Portland won the last meeting in our records, 41–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.