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Bangor Class A North
Projected final record 4–4 · projected #4 seed · full projection →. A season-simulation projection, not a prediction.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class A North, top 4 qualify · all divisions →
Still in contention. With 4 games to play, Bangor can finish as high as #1 and as low as #7: the playoff cut runs right through this team.
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
Games that matter most · if the higher-rated team wins every game, Bangor is the #5 seed
These are the games whose result moves Bangor's seed the most (every other game held at the rating's pick). Each column shows who wins and where Bangor lands.
| Date | Game | Bangor's seed if… | …or if… |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 10/9 | vs Portland in/out | Bangor wins → #3 in | Portland wins → #5 out |
| Fri 10/30 | vs Oxford Hills in/out | Bangor wins → #3 in | Oxford Hills wins → #5 out |
| Fri 10/2 | other game: Scarborough vs Edward Little in/out | Scarborough wins → #4 in | Edward Little wins → #5 out |
| Fri 10/9 | other game: Windham vs Edward Little in/out | Windham wins → #4 in | Edward Little wins → #5 out |
| Fri 10/23 | other game: Mt. Blue vs Edward Little in/out | Mt. Blue wins → #4 in | Edward Little wins → #5 out |
| Fri 10/23 | other game: Windham vs Lewiston in/out | Lewiston wins → #4 in | Windham wins → #5 out |
Bangor's own games are in bold; "other game" rows are matchups Bangor isn't in but that still move its seed (Crabtree counts opponents' records). Open the full simulator →
Championship chances · projection, week 4 · all divisions →
Simulated from the power ratings: how often Bangor wins the bracket across thousands of season runs, not a betting number. A projection, not advice; to win state a team must first win its region.
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/4 | Massabesic Class A South | L 18–22 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/11 | at Lewiston Class A North | W 28–0 | Recap → |
| Sat 9/19 | at Deering Class A North | W 32–13 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/25 | Windham Class A North | L 14–21 | Recap → |
| Fri 10/9 | at Portland Class A North | 6:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/16 | Edward Little Class A North | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/23 | at Sanford Class A South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/30 | Oxford Hills Class A North | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Massabesic | 3-1 | yes |
| Lewiston | 0-4 | yes |
| Deering | 1-3 | yes |
| Windham | 2-2 | yes |
Own win% = 2 / 4 = 0.5000
Opponents pooled = 6 wins / 16 games = 0.3750
Crabtree = (0.5000 + 0.3750) × 100 = 87.500
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 17.500, tournament index 10.9722 over 8 scheduled games.
niftiIQ power rating
12.1 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band 0.7 to 23.5) · rank #13 among 11-man teams · est. 7% chance of being the top-rated team in Class A North, est. 0% in all of 11-man
4 games of evidence; 20% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average A team, +3.2 from where the program finished the last two seasons). A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
| Game | Result | Moved the rating |
|---|---|---|
| Fri 9/4 Massabesic | L 18–22 | +0.3 |
| Fri 9/11 at Lewiston | W 28–0 | +0.9 |
| Sat 9/19 at Deering | W 32–13 | +1.6 |
| Fri 9/25 Windham | L 14–21 | -3.5 |
"Moved the rating" = today's rating minus what it would be if that game had never happened (everything else re-solved). A big number on one game is worth a second look at the score.