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New York Jets
#30
power ranking
-4.9
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
1–2
record
5.7
projected wins · playoffs 3% · title 0.0%
1376
Elo · off -0.036 · def +0.044
Geno Smith
named starter · rating -0.006
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #30 · lost to DET 31–24.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 30 | -4.9 | 1376 | Geno Smith | 1–2 |
| Sep 30 | 30 | -4.9 | 1376 | Geno Smith | 1–2 |
| Sep 29 | 30 | -4.9 | 1376 | Geno Smith | 1–2 |
| Sep 28 | 30 | -4.9 | 1376 | Geno Smith | 1–2 |
| Sep 27 | 29 | -4.9 | 1376 | Geno Smith | 1–2 |
| Sep 26 | 29 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 25 | 29 | -4.8 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 24 | 28 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 23 | 28 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 22 | 29 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 21 | 29 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 20 | 30 | -4.7 | 1385 | Geno Smith | 1–1 |
| Sep 19 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 18 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 17 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 16 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 15 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 14 | 29 | -4.7 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 13 | 27 | -4.5 | 1396 | Geno Smith | 1–0 |
| Sep 12 | 31 | -8.2 | 1365 | Geno Smith | 0–0 |
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that NYJ wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | NYJ win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
47% | TEN | 23–10 W pick ✕ |
| 2 | vs GB Packers Sun 1:00 PM |
37% | GB | 20–17 L pick ✓ |
| 3 | @ DET Lions Sun 1:00 PM |
16% | DET | 24–31 L pick ✓ |
| 4 | @ CHI Bears Sun 1:00 PM |
26% | CHI | pending |
| 5 | vs CLE Browns Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | @ NE Patriots Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | vs MIA Dolphins Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | vs LV Raiders Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | @ KC Chiefs Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | vs BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | @ LAC Chargers Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | @ MIA Dolphins Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | vs DEN Broncos Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ ARI Cardinals Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | vs NE Patriots Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs MIN Vikings Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |