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Minnesota Vikings

NFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#7
power ranking
+3.8
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
3–0
record
11.6
projected wins · playoffs 90% · title 8.4%
1611
Elo · off -0.057 · def -0.081
Kyler Murray
named starter · rating -0.015
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #7 · beat TB 23–16 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #13, +2.0Sep 13: #15, +1.7Sep 14: #9, +2.5Sep 15: #10, +2.5Sep 16: #10, +2.5Sep 17: #10, +2.5Sep 18: #6, +3.7Sep 19: #6, +3.7Sep 20: #11, +2.6Sep 21: #11, +2.7Sep 22: #11, +2.7Sep 23: #11, +2.8Sep 24: #11, +2.8Sep 25: #11, +2.7Sep 26: #11, +2.7Sep 27: #9, +3.0Sep 28: #7, +3.9Sep 29: #7, +3.8Sep 30: #7, +3.8Oct 1: #7, +3.8
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 17+3.81611Kyler Murray3–0
Sep 307+3.81611Kyler Murray3–0
Sep 297+3.81611Kyler Murray3–0
Sep 287+3.91611Kyler Murray3–0
Sep 279+3.01611Kyler Murray3–0
Sep 2611+2.71597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2511+2.71597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2411+2.81597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2311+2.81597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2211+2.71597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2111+2.71597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 2011+2.61597Kyler Murray2–0
Sep 196+3.71575Carson Wentz1–0
Sep 186+3.71575Carson Wentz1–0
Sep 1710+2.51575Kyler Murray1–0
Sep 1610+2.51575Kyler Murray1–0
Sep 1510+2.51575Kyler Murray1–0
Sep 149+2.51575Kyler Murray1–0
Sep 1315+1.71553Kyler Murray0–0
Sep 1213+2.01553Kyler Murray0–0

Notable this season

Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that MIN wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameMIN winPickResult
1 vs GB Packers
Sun 4:25 PM
 55% MIN 22–39 W pick ✓
2 @ CHI Bears
Sun 1:00 PM
 39% CHI 9–3 W pick ✕
3 @ TB Buccaneers
Sun 4:05 PM
 54% MIN 23–16 W pick ✓
4 vs MIA Dolphins
Sun 4:05 PM
 80% MIN pending
5 @ NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
7 vs IND Colts
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
8 @ DET Lions
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
9 vs BUF Bills
Mon 8:15 PM
 – – pending
10 @ GB Packers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
11 @ SF 49ers
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
12 vs ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
13 vs CAR Panthers
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
14 @ NE Patriots
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
15 vs DET Lions
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
16 vs WAS Commanders
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
17 @ NYJ Jets
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
18 vs CHI Bears
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
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