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Miami Dolphins
#31
power ranking
-6.1
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
0–3
record
4.5
projected wins · playoffs 1% · title 0.0%
1395
Elo · off -0.023 · def +0.060
Malik Willis
named starter · rating +0.021
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #31 · lost to KC 24–10.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 31 | -6.1 | 1395 | Malik Willis | 0–3 |
| Sep 30 | 31 | -6.1 | 1395 | Malik Willis | 0–3 |
| Sep 29 | 31 | -6.1 | 1395 | Malik Willis | 0–3 |
| Sep 28 | 31 | -6.1 | 1395 | Malik Willis | 0–3 |
| Sep 27 | 31 | -6.1 | 1395 | Malik Willis | 0–3 |
| Sep 26 | 28 | -4.7 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 25 | 28 | -4.7 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 24 | 29 | -4.7 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 23 | 29 | -4.7 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 22 | 30 | -4.7 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 21 | 30 | -4.8 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 20 | 31 | -4.8 | 1417 | Malik Willis | 0–2 |
| Sep 19 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 18 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 17 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 16 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 15 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 14 | 28 | -4.0 | 1429 | Malik Willis | 0–1 |
| Sep 13 | 26 | -3.4 | 1461 | Malik Willis | 0–0 |
| Sep 12 | 24 | -3.0 | 1461 | Malik Willis | 0–0 |
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that MIA wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | MIA win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ LV Raiders Sun 4:25 PM |
57% | MIA | 13–27 L pick ✕ |
| 2 | @ SF 49ers Sun 4:25 PM |
22% | SF | 13–35 L pick ✓ |
| 3 | vs KC Chiefs Sun 1:00 PM |
40% | KC | 24–10 L pick ✓ |
| 4 | @ MIN Vikings Sun 4:05 PM |
20% | MIN | pending |
| 5 | vs CIN Bengals Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | @ NYJ Jets Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | vs NE Patriots Sun 4:25 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | vs DET Lions Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | @ IND Colts Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | @ BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs NYJ Jets Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | @ DEN Broncos Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | vs CHI Bears Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ GB Packers Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | vs LAC Chargers Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ NE Patriots Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |