NFL

Las Vegas Raiders

AFC West · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#22
power ranking
-2.0
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
3–0
record
8.7
projected wins · playoffs 39% · title 0.3%
1454
Elo · off -0.081 · def -0.006
Kirk Cousins
named starter · rating +0.035
0–3
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #22 · beat NO 35–27 as an other side.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #30, -7.2Sep 13: #31, -7.5Sep 14: #27, -3.7Sep 15: #27, -3.8Sep 16: #27, -3.8Sep 17: #27, -3.8Sep 18: #27, -3.8Sep 19: #27, -3.8Sep 20: #24, -2.8Sep 21: #24, -2.8Sep 22: #23, -2.8Sep 23: #23, -2.7Sep 24: #23, -2.7Sep 25: #24, -2.8Sep 26: #24, -2.8Sep 27: #22, -2.0Sep 28: #22, -2.0Sep 29: #22, -2.0Sep 30: #22, -2.0Oct 1: #22, -2.0
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 122-2.01454Kirk Cousins3–0
Sep 3022-2.01454Kirk Cousins3–0
Sep 2922-2.01454Kirk Cousins3–0
Sep 2822-2.01454Kirk Cousins3–0
Sep 2722-2.01454Kirk Cousins3–0
Sep 2624-2.81424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2524-2.81424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2423-2.71424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2323-2.71424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2223-2.81424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2124-2.81424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 2024-2.81424Kirk Cousins2–0
Sep 1927-3.81384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1827-3.81384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1727-3.81384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1627-3.81384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1527-3.81384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1427-3.71384Kirk Cousins1–0
Sep 1331-7.51352Kirk Cousins0–0
Sep 1230-7.21352Kirk Cousins0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that LV wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameLV winPickResult
1 vs MIA Dolphins
Sun 4:25 PM
43% MIA 13–27 W pick ✕
2 @ LAC Chargers
Sun 4:05 PM
36% LAC 26–14 W pick ✕
3 @ NO Saints
Sun 4:25 PM
37% NO 35–27 W pick ✕
4 vs KC Chiefs
Sun 4:25 PM
36% KC pending
5 @ NE Patriots
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
6 vs BUF Bills
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
7 vs LA Rams
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
8 @ NYJ Jets
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
9 @ SF 49ers
Sun 4:05 PM
– – pending
10 vs SEA Seahawks
Sun 4:05 PM
– – pending
11 @ DEN Broncos
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
12 @ CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
14 vs LAC Chargers
Sun 4:05 PM
– – pending
15 vs DEN Broncos
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
16 vs TEN Titans
Sun 4:05 PM
– – pending
17 @ ARI Cardinals
Sun 4:05 PM
– – pending
18 @ KC Chiefs
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending