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Los Angeles Chargers
#25
power ranking
-3.0
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
0–3
record
5.1
projected wins · playoffs 2% · title 0.0%
1441
Elo · off -0.038 · def -0.026
Justin Herbert
named starter · rating -0.004
1–2
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #25 · lost to BUF 24–16.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 25 | -3.0 | 1441 | Justin Herbert | 0–3 |
| Sep 30 | 25 | -3.0 | 1441 | Justin Herbert | 0–3 |
| Sep 29 | 25 | -3.0 | 1441 | Justin Herbert | 0–3 |
| Sep 28 | 26 | -3.0 | 1441 | Justin Herbert | 0–3 |
| Sep 27 | 26 | -3.0 | 1441 | Justin Herbert | 0–3 |
| Sep 26 | 26 | -2.9 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 25 | 26 | -2.9 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 24 | 25 | -2.9 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 23 | 25 | -2.9 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 22 | 25 | -2.9 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 21 | 26 | -3.0 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 20 | 25 | -2.8 | 1448 | Justin Herbert | 0–2 |
| Sep 19 | 23 | -2.0 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 18 | 23 | -2.0 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 17 | 23 | -2.0 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 16 | 23 | -2.0 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 15 | 23 | -2.0 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 14 | 23 | -1.9 | 1488 | Justin Herbert | 0–1 |
| Sep 13 | 16 | +0.3 | 1530 | Justin Herbert | 0–0 |
| Sep 12 | 16 | +0.5 | 1530 | Justin Herbert | 0–0 |
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that LAC wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | LAC win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs ARI Cardinals Sun 4:25 PM |
75% | LAC | 26–14 L pick ✕ |
| 2 | vs LV Raiders Sun 4:05 PM |
64% | LAC | 26–14 L pick ✕ |
| 3 | @ BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
15% | BUF | 16–24 L pick ✓ |
| 4 | @ SEA Seahawks Sun 4:25 PM |
26% | SEA | pending |
| 5 | vs DEN Broncos Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | @ KC Chiefs Sun 4:25 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | @ LA Rams Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | vs HOU Texans Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | @ BAL Ravens Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | vs NYJ Jets Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs NE Patriots Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | @ TB Buccaneers Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | @ LV Raiders Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | vs SF 49ers Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | @ MIA Dolphins Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs KC Chiefs Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ DEN Broncos Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |