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Indianapolis Colts
#19
power ranking
-1.4
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
1–2
record
7.7
projected wins · playoffs 23% · title 0.2%
1448
Elo · off +0.026 · def +0.030
Daniel Jones
named starter · rating +0.004
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #19 · beat HOU 19–17 as an other side.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 19 | -1.4 | 1448 | Daniel Jones | 1–2 |
| Sep 30 | 19 | -1.4 | 1448 | Daniel Jones | 1–2 |
| Sep 29 | 19 | -1.4 | 1448 | Daniel Jones | 1–2 |
| Sep 28 | 18 | -1.4 | 1448 | Daniel Jones | 1–2 |
| Sep 27 | 18 | -1.4 | 1448 | Daniel Jones | 1–2 |
| Sep 26 | 19 | -1.9 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 25 | 19 | -1.9 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 24 | 19 | -1.8 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 23 | 19 | -1.8 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 22 | 19 | -1.9 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 21 | 21 | -1.9 | 1435 | Daniel Jones | 0–2 |
| Sep 20 | 23 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 19 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 18 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 17 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 16 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 15 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 14 | 25 | -2.4 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 13 | 22 | -2.2 | 1443 | Daniel Jones | 0–1 |
| Sep 12 | 21 | -1.8 | 1471 | Daniel Jones | 0–0 |
Notable this season
Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that IND wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | IND win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BAL Ravens Sun 1:00 PM |
39% | BAL | 41–23 L pick ✓ |
| 2 | @ KC Chiefs Sun 8:20 PM |
34% | KC | 30–33 L pick ✓ |
| 3 | vs HOU Texans Sun 1:00 PM |
48% | HOU | 17–19 W pick ✕ |
| 4 | @ WAS Commanders Sun 9:30 AM |
60% | IND | pending |
| 5 | @ PIT Steelers Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | vs TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | @ MIN Vikings Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | @ JAX Jaguars Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | vs DAL Cowboys Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | vs MIA Dolphins Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | @ HOU Texans Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs NYG Giants Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | @ PHI Eagles Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | vs CIN Bengals Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | @ CLE Browns Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | vs JAX Jaguars Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |