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Houston Texans
#17
power ranking
-0.3
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
0–3
record
7.6
projected wins · playoffs 21% · title 0.4%
1534
Elo · off -0.031 · def -0.072
C.J. Stroud
named starter · rating +0.003
0–3
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #17 · lost to IND 19–17 as a pick.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 17 | -0.3 | 1534 | C.J. Stroud | 0–3 |
| Sep 30 | 17 | -0.3 | 1534 | C.J. Stroud | 0–3 |
| Sep 29 | 17 | -0.3 | 1534 | C.J. Stroud | 0–3 |
| Sep 28 | 16 | -0.3 | 1534 | C.J. Stroud | 0–3 |
| Sep 27 | 16 | -0.3 | 1534 | C.J. Stroud | 0–3 |
| Sep 26 | 16 | -0.1 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 25 | 16 | -0.1 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 24 | 16 | +0.0 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 23 | 16 | -0.0 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 22 | 16 | -0.1 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 21 | 16 | -0.1 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 20 | 17 | -0.2 | 1547 | C.J. Stroud | 0–2 |
| Sep 19 | 14 | +1.9 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 18 | 14 | +1.9 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 17 | 13 | +2.0 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 16 | 13 | +2.0 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 15 | 13 | +2.0 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 14 | 14 | +2.0 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 13 | 13 | +2.1 | 1588 | C.J. Stroud | 0–1 |
| Sep 12 | 8 | +3.0 | 1609 | C.J. Stroud | 0–0 |
Notable this season
Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that HOU wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | HOU win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs BUF Bills Sun 1:00 PM |
51% | HOU | 36–31 L pick ✕ |
| 2 | vs CIN Bengals Sun 1:00 PM |
54% | HOU | 20–6 L pick ✕ |
| 3 | @ IND Colts Sun 1:00 PM |
52% | HOU | 17–19 L pick ✕ |
| 4 | vs DAL Cowboys Sun 1:00 PM |
62% | HOU | pending |
| 5 | @ TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | @ JAX Jaguars Sun 9:30 AM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | vs NYG Giants Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | @ LAC Chargers Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | @ CLE Browns Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | vs IND Colts Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs BAL Ravens Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | @ PIT Steelers Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | @ WAS Commanders Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | vs JAX Jaguars Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | @ PHI Eagles Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | @ GB Packers Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | vs TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |