NFL

Detroit Lions

NFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#8
power ranking
+3.8
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
10.9
projected wins · playoffs 80% · title 7.2%
1555
Elo · off +0.078 · def +0.022
Jared Goff
named starter · rating +0.155
3–0
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #8 · beat NYJ 31–24 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #5, +3.7Sep 13: #6, +3.7Sep 14: #6, +3.6Sep 15: #6, +3.6Sep 16: #6, +3.5Sep 17: #6, +3.5Sep 18: #10, +2.7Sep 19: #10, +2.7Sep 20: #10, +2.7Sep 21: #10, +2.8Sep 22: #10, +2.8Sep 23: #10, +2.9Sep 24: #10, +2.9Sep 25: #10, +2.8Sep 26: #10, +2.8Sep 27: #7, +3.8Sep 28: #8, +3.8Sep 29: #8, +3.8Sep 30: #8, +3.8Oct 1: #8, +3.8
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 18+3.81555Jared Goff2–1
Sep 308+3.81555Jared Goff2–1
Sep 298+3.81555Jared Goff2–1
Sep 288+3.81555Jared Goff2–1
Sep 277+3.81555Jared Goff2–1
Sep 2610+2.81546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2510+2.81546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2410+2.91546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2310+2.91546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2210+2.81546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2110+2.81546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 2010+2.71546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 1910+2.71546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 1810+2.71546Jared Goff1–1
Sep 176+3.51561Jared Goff1–0
Sep 166+3.51561Jared Goff1–0
Sep 156+3.61561Jared Goff1–0
Sep 146+3.61561Jared Goff1–0
Sep 136+3.71561Jared Goff1–0
Sep 125+3.71558Jared Goff0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that DET wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameDET winPickResult
1 vs NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
76% DET 30–31 W pick ✓
2 @ BUF Bills
Thu 8:15 PM
32% BUF 31–41 L pick ✓
3 vs NYJ Jets
Sun 1:00 PM
84% DET 24–31 W pick ✓
4 @ CAR Panthers
Sun 8:20 PM
66% DET pending
5 @ ARI Cardinals
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
7 vs GB Packers
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
8 vs MIN Vikings
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
9 @ MIA Dolphins
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
10 vs NE Patriots
Sun 9:30 AM
– – pending
11 vs TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
12 vs CHI Bears
Thu 1:00 PM
– – pending
13 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
14 vs TEN Titans
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
15 @ MIN Vikings
Sun 8:20 PM
– – pending
16 vs NYG Giants
Mon 8:15 PM
– – pending
17 @ CHI Bears
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
18 @ GB Packers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending