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Denver Broncos

AFC West · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#11
power ranking
+2.7
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
10.3
projected wins · playoffs 72% · title 3.1%
1603
Elo · off +0.007 · def -0.040
Bo Nix
named starter · rating +0.037
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #11 · beat LA 30–26 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #11, +2.4Sep 13: #12, +2.1Sep 14: #12, +2.1Sep 15: #15, +1.0Sep 16: #15, +1.0Sep 17: #15, +1.0Sep 18: #15, +1.0Sep 19: #15, +1.0Sep 20: #13, +2.1Sep 21: #12, +2.4Sep 22: #12, +2.4Sep 23: #12, +2.5Sep 24: #12, +2.5Sep 25: #12, +2.4Sep 26: #12, +2.4Sep 27: #11, +2.4Sep 28: #11, +2.7Sep 29: #11, +2.7Sep 30: #11, +2.7Oct 1: #11, +2.7
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 111+2.71603Bo Nix2–1
Sep 3011+2.71603Bo Nix2–1
Sep 2911+2.71603Bo Nix2–1
Sep 2811+2.71603Bo Nix2–1
Sep 2711+2.41590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2612+2.41590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2512+2.41590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2412+2.51590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2312+2.51590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2212+2.41590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2112+2.41590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 2013+2.11590Bo Nix1–1
Sep 1915+1.01572Bo Nix0–1
Sep 1815+1.01572Bo Nix0–1
Sep 1715+1.01572Bo Nix0–1
Sep 1615+1.01572Bo Nix0–1
Sep 1515+1.01572Bo Nix0–1
Sep 1412+2.11610Bo Nix0–0
Sep 1312+2.11610Bo Nix0–0
Sep 1211+2.41610Bo Nix0–0

Notable this season

Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that DEN wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameDEN winPickResult
1 @ KC Chiefs
Mon 8:15 PM
 62% DEN 10–31 L pick ✕
2 vs JAX Jaguars
Sun 4:05 PM
 51% DEN 13–20 W pick ✓
3 vs LA Rams
Sun 8:20 PM
 51% DEN 26–30 W pick ✓
4 @ SF 49ers
Sun 4:25 PM
 37% SF pending
5 @ LAC Chargers
Sun 4:05 PM
 – – pending
6 vs SEA Seahawks
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
7 @ ARI Cardinals
Sun 4:05 PM
 – – pending
8 vs KC Chiefs
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
9 @ CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
11 vs LV Raiders
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
12 @ PIT Steelers
Fri 3:00 PM
 – – pending
13 vs MIA Dolphins
Sun 4:05 PM
 – – pending
14 @ NYJ Jets
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
15 @ LV Raiders
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
16 vs BUF Bills
Fri 4:30 PM
 – – pending
17 @ NE Patriots
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
18 vs LAC Chargers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
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