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Cincinnati Bengals

AFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#10
power ranking
+2.9
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
10.5
projected wins · playoffs 75% · title 4.0%
1527
Elo · off +0.022 · def +0.044
Joe Burrow
named starter · rating +0.083
1–2
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #10 · lost to PIT 30–27 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #14, +1.9Sep 13: #11, +2.2Sep 14: #11, +2.1Sep 15: #12, +2.0Sep 16: #12, +2.0Sep 17: #12, +2.0Sep 18: #12, +1.9Sep 19: #12, +1.9Sep 20: #8, +3.1Sep 21: #9, +3.1Sep 22: #9, +3.2Sep 23: #9, +3.2Sep 24: #9, +3.2Sep 25: #9, +3.1Sep 26: #9, +3.1Sep 27: #10, +2.9Sep 28: #10, +2.9Sep 29: #10, +2.9Sep 30: #10, +2.9Oct 1: #10, +2.9
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 110+2.91527Joe Burrow2–1
Sep 3010+2.91527Joe Burrow2–1
Sep 2910+2.91527Joe Burrow2–1
Sep 2810+2.91527Joe Burrow2–1
Sep 2710+2.91527Joe Burrow2–1
Sep 269+3.11539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 259+3.11539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 249+3.21539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 239+3.21539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 229+3.21539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 219+3.11539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 208+3.11539Joe Burrow2–0
Sep 1912+1.91499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1812+1.91499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1712+2.01499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1612+2.01499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1512+2.01499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1411+2.11499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1311+2.21499Joe Burrow1–0
Sep 1214+1.91483Joe Burrow0–0

Notable this season

Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that CIN wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameCIN winPickResult
1 vs TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
 65% CIN 27–33 W pick ✓
2 @ HOU Texans
Sun 1:00 PM
 46% HOU 20–6 W pick ✕
3 @ PIT Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM
 62% CIN 27–30 L pick ✕
4 vs JAX Jaguars
Sun 1:00 PM
 48% JAX pending
5 @ MIA Dolphins
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
7 @ BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
8 vs TEN Titans
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
9 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 9:30 AM
 – – pending
10 vs PIT Steelers
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
11 @ WAS Commanders
Mon 8:15 PM
 – – pending
12 vs NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
13 @ CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
14 vs KC Chiefs
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
15 @ CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
16 @ IND Colts
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
17 vs BAL Ravens
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
18 vs CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
← All rankings · Season projections