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Baltimore Ravens

AFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#6
power ranking
+4.2
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
10.7
projected wins · playoffs 80% · title 5.8%
1550
Elo · off +0.073 · def +0.013
Lamar Jackson
named starter · rating +0.115
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #6 · beat DAL 34–31 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #4, +3.9Sep 13: #2, +5.4Sep 14: #2, +5.2Sep 15: #2, +5.2Sep 16: #2, +5.2Sep 17: #2, +5.2Sep 18: #2, +5.2Sep 19: #2, +5.2Sep 20: #4, +4.1Sep 21: #4, +4.1Sep 22: #5, +4.2Sep 23: #5, +4.2Sep 24: #5, +4.2Sep 25: #5, +4.1Sep 26: #5, +4.1Sep 27: #6, +4.2Sep 28: #6, +4.2Sep 29: #6, +4.2Sep 30: #6, +4.2Oct 1: #6, +4.2
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 16+4.21550Lamar Jackson2–1
Sep 306+4.21550Lamar Jackson2–1
Sep 296+4.21550Lamar Jackson2–1
Sep 286+4.21550Lamar Jackson2–1
Sep 276+4.21550Lamar Jackson2–1
Sep 265+4.11540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 255+4.11540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 245+4.21540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 235+4.21540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 225+4.21540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 214+4.11540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 204+4.11540Lamar Jackson1–1
Sep 192+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 182+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 172+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 162+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 152+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 142+5.21574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 132+5.41574Lamar Jackson1–0
Sep 124+3.91546Lamar Jackson0–0

Notable this season

Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that BAL wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameBAL winPickResult
1 @ IND Colts
Sun 1:00 PM
 61% BAL 41–23 W pick ✓
2 vs NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
 73% BAL 24–17 L pick ✕
3 @ DAL Cowboys
Sun 4:25 PM
 64% BAL 34–31 W pick ✓
4 vs TEN Titans
Sun 1:00 PM
 86% BAL pending
5 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
6 @ CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
7 vs CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
8 @ BUF Bills
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
9 vs JAX Jaguars
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
10 vs LAC Chargers
Mon 8:15 PM
 – – pending
11 @ CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
12 @ HOU Texans
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
14 vs TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
15 @ PIT Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
16 vs CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
17 @ CIN Bengals
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
18 vs PIT Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
← All rankings · Season projections