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Mount View 8-Man Small South
Projected final record 3–5 · projected #7 seed · full projection →. A season-simulation projection, not a prediction.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · 8-Man Small South, top 4 qualify · all divisions →
Still in contention. With 5 games to play, Mount View can finish as high as #1 and as low as #7: the playoff cut runs right through this team.
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
Championship chances · projection, week 4 · all divisions →
Simulated from the power ratings: how often Mount View wins the bracket across thousands of season runs, not a betting number. A projection, not advice; to win state a team must first win its region.
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/5 | at Waterville 8-Man Large North | L 18–32 | Recap → |
| Sat 9/12 | Cape Elizabeth 8-Man Large South | L 14–66 | Recap → |
| Sat 9/19 | at Fort Kent non-MPA | no result reported | Preview → |
| Sat 9/26 | Traip 8-Man Small South | L 12–36 | Recap → |
| Sat 10/3 | Dexter 8-Man Small North | 1:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/9 | at Gray-NG 8-Man Large South | 6:00 PM | Preview → |
| Sat 10/17 | Sacopee Valley 8-Man Small South | 1:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/23 | at Boothbay 8-Man Small South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Waterville | 1-3 | yes |
| Cape Elizabeth | 3-1 | yes |
| Traip | 1-3 | yes |
Own win% = 0 / 3 = 0.0000
Opponents pooled = 5 wins / 12 games = 0.4167
Crabtree = (0.0000 + 0.4167) × 100 = 41.667
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 1.000, tournament index 0.0000 over 8 scheduled games.
niftiIQ power rating
-30.8 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -43.4 to -18.3) · rank #23 among 8-man teams · est. 0% chance of being the top-rated team in 8-Man Small South, est. 0% in all of 8-man
3 games of evidence; 25% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average 8S team, -23.4 from where the program finished the last two seasons). A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
| Game | Result | Moved the rating |
|---|---|---|
| Sat 9/5 at Waterville | L 18–32 | +0.2 |
| Sat 9/12 Cape Elizabeth | L 14–66 | +2.3 |
| Sat 9/26 Traip | L 12–36 | -4.4 |
"Moved the rating" = today's rating minus what it would be if that game had never happened (everything else re-solved). A big number on one game is worth a second look at the score.