More
Gorham Class B South
Projected final record 3–5 · projected #7 seed · full projection →. A season-simulation projection, not a prediction.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class B South, top 6 qualify · all divisions →
Still in contention. With 4 games to play, Gorham can finish as high as #1 and as low as #7: the playoff cut runs right through this team.
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
Championship chances · projection, week 4 · all divisions →
Simulated from the power ratings: how often Gorham wins the bracket across thousands of season runs, not a betting number. A projection, not advice; to win state a team must first win its region.
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 | Lawrence Class B North | L 0–48 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/11 | at Biddeford Class B South | L 0–21 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/18 | Marshwood Class B South | L 12–32 | Recap → |
| Sat 9/26 | at Kennebunk Class B South | L 0–43 | Recap → |
| Sat 10/3 | at Cheverus Class B South | 12:30 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/9 | Falmouth Class B South | 6:30 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/16 | Scarborough Class A South | 6:30 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/23 | at Westbrook Class B South | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Lawrence | 4-0 | yes |
| Biddeford | 3-1 | yes |
| Marshwood | 4-0 | yes |
| Kennebunk | 3-1 | yes |
Own win% = 0 / 4 = 0.0000
Opponents pooled = 14 wins / 16 games = 0.8750
Crabtree = (0.0000 + 0.8750) × 100 = 87.500
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 1.000, tournament index 0.0000 over 8 scheduled games.
niftiIQ power rating
-9.8 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -20.7 to 1.0) · rank #37 among 11-man teams · est. 0% chance of being the top-rated team in Class B South, est. 0% in all of 11-man
4 games of evidence; 20% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average B team, -4.0 from where the program finished the last two seasons). A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
| Game | Result | Moved the rating |
|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 Lawrence | L 0–48 | -0.4 |
| Fri 9/11 at Biddeford | L 0–21 | -1.3 |
| Fri 9/18 Marshwood | L 12–32 | -0.2 |
| Sat 9/26 at Kennebunk | L 0–43 | -1.3 |
"Moved the rating" = today's rating minus what it would be if that game had never happened (everything else re-solved). A big number on one game is worth a second look at the score.