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Biddeford Class B South
Projected final record 4–4 · projected #6 seed · full projection →. A season-simulation projection, not a prediction.
Want to see how the standings could change? Open the what-if simulator →
Playoff picture · Class B South, top 6 qualify · all divisions →
Still in contention. With 4 games to play, Biddeford can finish as high as #1 and as low as #7: the playoff cut runs right through this team.
"Clinched" and "eliminated" are exact: they hold for every possible combination of remaining results. Seeds use the same Crabtree method as the standings. Nothing here is a prediction.
Games that matter most · if the higher-rated team wins every game, Biddeford is the #6 seed
These are the games whose result moves Biddeford's seed the most (every other game held at the rating's pick). Each column shows who wins and where Biddeford lands.
| Date | Game | Biddeford's seed if… | …or if… |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 10/16 | vs Marshwood | Biddeford wins → #4 in | Marshwood wins → #6 in |
| Fri 10/23 | vs Cheverus | Biddeford wins → #4 in | Cheverus wins → #6 in |
| Fri 10/2 | vs Westbrook | Biddeford wins → #5 in | Westbrook wins → #6 in |
| Fri 10/9 | other game: Deering vs Westbrook | Deering wins → #5 in | Westbrook wins → #6 in |
| Fri 10/23 | other game: Gorham vs Westbrook | Gorham wins → #5 in | Westbrook wins → #6 in |
Biddeford's own games are in bold; "other game" rows are matchups Biddeford isn't in but that still move its seed (Crabtree counts opponents' records). Open the full simulator →
Championship chances · projection, week 4 · all divisions →
Simulated from the power ratings: how often Biddeford wins the bracket across thousands of season runs, not a betting number. A projection, not advice; to win state a team must first win its region.
Schedule and results
| Date | Opponent | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 | Brunswick Class B North | W 28–6 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/11 | Gorham Class B South | W 21–0 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/18 | at Morse Class D South | W 26–8 | Recap → |
| Fri 9/25 | at Falmouth Class B South | L 14–38 | Recap → |
| Fri 10/2 | Westbrook Class B South | 6:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/9 | at Skowhegan Class B North | 7:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/16 | at Marshwood Class B South | 6:00 PM | Preview → |
| Fri 10/23 | Cheverus Class B South | 6:00 PM | Preview → |
Crabtree, shown step by step
| Opponent played | Their W-L | Counts? |
|---|---|---|
| Brunswick | 1-3 | yes |
| Gorham | 0-4 | yes |
| Morse | 3-1 | yes |
| Falmouth | 2-2 | yes |
Own win% = 3 / 4 = 0.7500
Opponents pooled = 6 wins / 16 games = 0.3750
Crabtree = (0.7500 + 0.3750) × 100 = 112.500
Heal tiebreaker: preliminary index 20.000, tournament index 29.3750 over 8 scheduled games.
niftiIQ power rating
4.5 points vs. an average Maine team (80% band -6.1 to 15.1) · rank #23 among 11-man teams · est. 5% chance of being the top-rated team in Class B South, est. 0% in all of 11-man
4 games of evidence; 20% of today's number is still the starting assumption (average B team, -9.5 from where the program finished the last two seasons). A band that touches 0 means the data can't yet separate this team from average. How the rating works →
| Game | Result | Moved the rating |
|---|---|---|
| Thu 9/3 Brunswick | W 28–6 | +2.2 |
| Fri 9/11 Gorham | W 21–0 | +1.0 |
| Fri 9/18 at Morse | W 26–8 | +6.8 |
| Fri 9/25 at Falmouth | L 14–38 | -3.5 |
"Moved the rating" = today's rating minus what it would be if that game had never happened (everything else re-solved). A big number on one game is worth a second look at the score.