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San Francisco 49ers

NFC West · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#2
power ranking
+5.4
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
3–0
record
11.8
projected wins · playoffs 92% · title 12.3%
1616
Elo · off +0.092 · def +0.032
Brock Purdy
named starter · rating +0.170
2–0
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #2 · beat ARI 36–30 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #2, +4.4Sep 13: #4, +4.2Sep 14: #4, +4.0Sep 15: #4, +4.0Sep 16: #4, +4.0Sep 17: #4, +4.0Sep 18: #4, +4.0Sep 19: #4, +4.0Sep 20: #3, +4.7Sep 21: #3, +5.2Sep 22: #4, +5.2Sep 23: #4, +5.2Sep 24: #4, +5.2Sep 25: #4, +5.1Sep 26: #4, +5.1Sep 27: #4, +5.1Sep 28: #2, +5.4Sep 29: #2, +5.3Sep 30: #2, +5.3Oct 1: #2, +5.4
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 12+5.41616Brock Purdy3–0
Sep 302+5.31616Brock Purdy3–0
Sep 292+5.31616Brock Purdy3–0
Sep 282+5.41616Brock Purdy3–0
Sep 274+5.11616Brock Purdy3–0
Sep 264+5.11609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 254+5.11609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 244+5.21609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 234+5.21609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 224+5.21609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 213+5.21609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 203+4.71609Brock Purdy2–0
Sep 194+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 184+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 174+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 164+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 154+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 144+4.01597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 134+4.21597Brock Purdy1–0
Sep 122+4.41597Brock Purdy1–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that SF wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameSF winPickResult
1 @ LA Rams
Thu 8:35 PM
 – – 27–7 W
2 vs MIA Dolphins
Sun 4:25 PM
 78% SF 13–35 W pick ✓
3 vs ARI Cardinals
Sun 4:05 PM
 79% SF 30–36 W pick ✓
4 vs DEN Broncos
Sun 4:25 PM
 63% SF pending
5 @ SEA Seahawks
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
6 vs WAS Commanders
Mon 8:15 PM
 – – pending
7 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
9 vs LV Raiders
Sun 4:05 PM
 – – pending
10 @ DAL Cowboys
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
11 vs MIN Vikings
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
12 vs SEA Seahawks
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
13 @ NYG Giants
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
14 vs LA Rams
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
15 @ LAC Chargers
Thu 8:15 PM
 – – pending
16 @ KC Chiefs
Sun 4:25 PM
 – – pending
17 vs PHI Eagles
Sun 8:20 PM
 – – pending
18 @ ARI Cardinals
Sun 1:00 PM
 – – pending
← All rankings · Season projections