NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#18
power ranking
-1.3
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
8.5
projected wins · playoffs 37% · title 0.4%
1522
Elo · off -0.025 · def +0.007
Aaron Rodgers
named starter · rating -0.029
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #18 · beat CIN 30–27 as an other side.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #19, -0.6Sep 13: #17, -0.2Sep 14: #17, -0.4Sep 15: #18, -0.4Sep 16: #18, -0.4Sep 17: #18, -0.4Sep 18: #18, -0.5Sep 19: #18, -0.4Sep 20: #22, -2.1Sep 21: #23, -2.0Sep 22: #21, -2.0Sep 23: #22, -1.9Sep 24: #22, -2.0Sep 25: #22, -2.0Sep 26: #22, -2.0Sep 27: #17, -1.2Sep 28: #17, -1.3Sep 29: #18, -1.3Sep 30: #18, -1.3Oct 1: #18, -1.3
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 118-1.31522Aaron Rodgers2–1
Sep 3018-1.31522Aaron Rodgers2–1
Sep 2918-1.31522Aaron Rodgers2–1
Sep 2817-1.31522Aaron Rodgers2–1
Sep 2717-1.21522Aaron Rodgers2–1
Sep 2622-2.01509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2522-2.01509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2422-2.01509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2322-1.91509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2221-2.01509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2123-2.01509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 2022-2.11509Aaron Rodgers1–1
Sep 1918-0.41528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1818-0.51528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1718-0.41528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1618-0.41528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1518-0.41528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1417-0.41528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1317-0.21528Aaron Rodgers1–0
Sep 1219-0.61513Aaron Rodgers0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that PIT wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGamePIT winPickResult
1 vs ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
65% PIT 13–20 W pick ✓
2 @ NE Patriots
Sun 1:00 PM
34% NE 3–20 L pick ✓
3 vs CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
38% CIN 27–30 W pick ✕
4 @ CLE Browns
Thu 8:15 PM
44% CLE pending
5 vs IND Colts
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
6 @ TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
7 @ NO Saints
Sun 9:30 AM
– – pending
8 vs CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
10 @ CIN Bengals
Sun 8:20 PM
– – pending
11 @ PHI Eagles
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
12 vs DEN Broncos
Fri 3:00 PM
– – pending
13 vs HOU Texans
Sun 8:20 PM
– – pending
14 @ JAX Jaguars
Mon 8:15 PM
– – pending
15 vs BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
16 vs CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
17 @ TEN Titans
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
18 @ BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending