NFL

New Orleans Saints

NFC South · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#20
power ranking
-1.6
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
1–2
record
7.9
projected wins · playoffs 38% · title 0.4%
1442
Elo · off -0.029 · def +0.005
Tyler Shough
named starter · rating +0.010
1–2
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #20 · lost to LV 35–27 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #20, -1.5Sep 13: #21, -1.9Sep 14: #24, -2.1Sep 15: #24, -2.1Sep 16: #24, -2.1Sep 17: #24, -2.1Sep 18: #24, -2.1Sep 19: #24, -2.1Sep 20: #19, -0.9Sep 21: #18, -0.9Sep 22: #17, -0.8Sep 23: #17, -0.8Sep 24: #17, -0.8Sep 25: #17, -0.8Sep 26: #17, -0.8Sep 27: #19, -1.7Sep 28: #19, -1.5Sep 29: #20, -1.6Sep 30: #20, -1.6Oct 1: #20, -1.6
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 120-1.61442Tyler Shough1–2
Sep 3020-1.61442Tyler Shough1–2
Sep 2920-1.61442Tyler Shough1–2
Sep 2819-1.51442Tyler Shough1–2
Sep 2719-1.71442Tyler Shough1–2
Sep 2617-0.81472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2517-0.81472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2417-0.81472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2317-0.81472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2217-0.81472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2118-0.91472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 2019-0.91472Tyler Shough1–1
Sep 1924-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1824-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1724-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1624-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1524-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1424-2.11438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1321-1.91438Tyler Shough0–1
Sep 1220-1.51441Tyler Shough0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that NO wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameNO winPickResult
1 @ DET Lions
Sun 1:00 PM
24% DET 30–31 L pick ✓
2 @ BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
27% BAL 24–17 W pick ✕
3 vs LV Raiders
Sun 4:25 PM
63% NO 35–27 L pick ✕
4 vs ATL Falcons
Mon 8:15 PM
50% NO pending
5 vs MIN Vikings
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
6 @ NYG Giants
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
7 vs PIT Steelers
Sun 9:30 AM
– – pending
9 vs CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
10 vs CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
11 @ CHI Bears
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
12 @ CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
13 vs GB Packers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
14 @ CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
15 @ TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
16 vs ARI Cardinals
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
17 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
18 vs TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending