NFL
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Jacksonville Jaguars
#3
power ranking
+5.2
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
11.3
projected wins · playoffs 91% · title 10.8%
1601
Elo · off +0.048 · def -0.026
Trevor Lawrence
named starter · rating +0.061
3–0
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #3 · beat NE 35–6 as a pick.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 3 | +5.2 | 1601 | Trevor Lawrence | 2–1 |
| Sep 30 | 3 | +5.2 | 1601 | Trevor Lawrence | 2–1 |
| Sep 29 | 3 | +5.2 | 1601 | Trevor Lawrence | 2–1 |
| Sep 28 | 3 | +5.2 | 1601 | Trevor Lawrence | 2–1 |
| Sep 27 | 3 | +5.2 | 1601 | Trevor Lawrence | 2–1 |
| Sep 26 | 7 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 25 | 7 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 24 | 7 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 23 | 8 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 22 | 8 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 21 | 7 | +3.3 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 20 | 7 | +3.2 | 1568 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–1 |
| Sep 19 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 18 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 17 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 16 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 15 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 14 | 3 | +4.8 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 13 | 3 | +5.0 | 1586 | Trevor Lawrence | 1–0 |
| Sep 12 | 7 | +3.5 | 1572 | Trevor Lawrence | 0–0 |
Notable this season
Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that JAX wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | JAX win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs CLE Browns Sun 1:00 PM |
81% | JAX | 10–34 W pick ✓ |
| 2 | @ DEN Broncos Sun 4:05 PM |
49% | DEN | 13–20 L pick ✓ |
| 3 | vs NE Patriots Sun 1:00 PM |
62% | JAX | 6–35 W pick ✓ |
| 4 | @ CIN Bengals Sun 1:00 PM |
52% | JAX | pending |
| 5 | vs PHI Eagles Sun 9:30 AM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | vs HOU Texans Sun 9:30 AM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | vs IND Colts Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | @ BAL Ravens Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | @ TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | @ NYG Giants Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs TEN Titans Sun 4:05 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | @ CHI Bears Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | vs PIT Steelers Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ HOU Texans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | @ DAL Cowboys Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs WAS Commanders Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ IND Colts Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |