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Dallas Cowboys
#16
power ranking
+0.0
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
1–2
record
8.2
projected wins · playoffs 34% · title 0.7%
1455
Elo · off +0.048 · def +0.101
Dak Prescott
named starter · rating +0.133
3–0
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #16 · lost to BAL 34–31.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 16 | +0.0 | 1455 | Dak Prescott | 1–2 |
| Sep 30 | 16 | +0.0 | 1455 | Dak Prescott | 1–2 |
| Sep 29 | 16 | +0.0 | 1455 | Dak Prescott | 1–2 |
| Sep 28 | 15 | -0.0 | 1455 | Dak Prescott | 1–2 |
| Sep 27 | 15 | -0.2 | 1455 | Dak Prescott | 1–2 |
| Sep 26 | 15 | -0.0 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 25 | 15 | -0.0 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 24 | 15 | +0.1 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 23 | 15 | +0.1 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 22 | 15 | -0.0 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 21 | 15 | +0.0 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 20 | 16 | -0.2 | 1465 | Dak Prescott | 1–1 |
| Sep 19 | 21 | -1.8 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 18 | 21 | -1.8 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 17 | 21 | -1.8 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 16 | 21 | -1.8 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 15 | 21 | -1.8 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 14 | 21 | -1.7 | 1440 | Dak Prescott | 0–1 |
| Sep 13 | 23 | -2.3 | 1460 | Dak Prescott | 0–0 |
| Sep 12 | 22 | -1.9 | 1460 | Dak Prescott | 0–0 |
Notable this season
Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.
- Week 2: B.Aubrey (Dallas Cowboys) made a 60-yard field goal, the 36th-longest made of 4,646 games since 2009.
Above it: 68 yards, C.Little: Jacksonville Jaguars 30, Las Vegas Raiders 29 (Week 9, 2025) · 67 yards, C.Little: Tennessee Titans 7, Jacksonville Jaguars 41 (Week 18, 2025) · 66 yards, J.Tucker: Baltimore Ravens 19, Detroit Lions 17 (Week 3, 2021)
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that DAL wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | DAL win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ NYG Giants Sun 8:20 PM |
45% | NYG | 20–28 L pick ✓ |
| 2 | vs WAS Commanders Sun 4:25 PM |
56% | DAL | 20–37 W pick ✓ |
| 3 | vs BAL Ravens Sun 4:25 PM |
36% | BAL | 34–31 L pick ✓ |
| 4 | @ HOU Texans Sun 1:00 PM |
38% | HOU | pending |
| 5 | vs TB Buccaneers Thu 8:15 PM |
72% | DAL | pending |
| 6 | @ GB Packers Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | @ PHI Eagles Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | vs ARI Cardinals Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | @ IND Colts Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 10 | vs SF 49ers Sun 4:25 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | vs TEN Titans Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | vs PHI Eagles Thu 4:30 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | @ SEA Seahawks Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ LA Rams Sun 4:25 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | vs JAX Jaguars Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs NYG Giants Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ WAS Commanders Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |