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Chicago Bears
#12
power ranking
+1.6
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
9.3
projected wins · playoffs 46% · title 2.0%
1566
Elo · off +0.049 · def +0.006
Case Keenum
named starter · rating +0.008
1–2
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #12 · beat PHI 27–7 as an other side.
Ranking history
One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
| Snapshot | Rank | Strength | Elo | QB | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 12 | +1.6 | 1566 | Case Keenum | 2–1 |
| Sep 30 | 12 | +1.7 | 1566 | Case Keenum | 2–1 |
| Sep 29 | 12 | +1.7 | 1566 | Case Keenum | 2–1 |
| Sep 28 | 21 | -1.9 | 1537 | Case Keenum | 1–1 |
| Sep 27 | 21 | -1.9 | 1537 | Tyson Bagent | 1–1 |
| Sep 26 | 23 | -2.1 | 1537 | Tyson Bagent | 1–1 |
| Sep 25 | 23 | -2.0 | 1537 | Case Keenum | 1–1 |
| Sep 24 | 21 | -1.9 | 1537 | Case Keenum | 1–1 |
| Sep 23 | 21 | -1.9 | 1537 | Case Keenum | 1–1 |
| Sep 22 | 22 | -2.0 | 1537 | Tyson Bagent | 1–1 |
| Sep 21 | 22 | -2.0 | 1537 | Tyson Bagent | 1–1 |
| Sep 20 | 14 | +1.3 | 1537 | Caleb Williams | 1–1 |
| Sep 19 | 9 | +2.9 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 18 | 9 | +2.9 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 17 | 9 | +3.0 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 16 | 9 | +3.0 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 15 | 9 | +3.0 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 14 | 8 | +3.0 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 13 | 8 | +3.0 | 1559 | Caleb Williams | 1–0 |
| Sep 12 | 15 | +0.8 | 1532 | Caleb Williams | 0–0 |
Notable this season
Rare results for this team, measured against every game since 2009.
2026 schedule and our picks
Our pre-kickoff probability that CHI wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
| Wk | Game | CHI win | Pick | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CAR Panthers Sun 1:00 PM |
57% | CHI | 59–37 W pick ✓ |
| 2 | vs MIN Vikings Sun 1:00 PM |
61% | CHI | 9–3 L pick ✕ |
| 3 | vs PHI Eagles Mon 8:15 PM |
34% | PHI | 7–27 W pick ✕ |
| 4 | vs NYJ Jets Sun 1:00 PM |
74% | CHI | pending |
| 5 | @ GB Packers Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 6 | @ ATL Falcons Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 7 | vs NE Patriots Thu 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 8 | @ SEA Seahawks Mon 8:15 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 9 | vs TB Buccaneers Sun 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 11 | vs NO Saints Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 12 | @ DET Lions Thu 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 13 | vs JAX Jaguars Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 14 | @ MIA Dolphins Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 15 | @ BUF Bills Sat 8:20 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 16 | vs GB Packers Fri 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 17 | vs DET Lions Sun 4:25 PM |
– | – | pending |
| 18 | @ MIN Vikings Sun 1:00 PM |
– | – | pending |