NFL

Cleveland Browns

AFC North · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#24
power ranking
-3.0
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
2–1
record
8.3
projected wins · playoffs 29% · title 0.2%
1447
Elo · off -0.096 · def -0.025
Deshaun Watson
named starter · rating -0.019
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #24 · beat CAR 21–18 as a pick.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #28, -4.2Sep 13: #29, -5.3Sep 14: #31, -5.4Sep 15: #31, -5.5Sep 16: #31, -5.5Sep 17: #31, -5.5Sep 18: #31, -5.5Sep 19: #31, -5.5Sep 20: #28, -4.1Sep 21: #27, -3.6Sep 22: #26, -3.5Sep 23: #26, -3.5Sep 24: #26, -3.5Sep 25: #27, -3.5Sep 26: #27, -3.5Sep 27: #25, -2.9Sep 28: #25, -3.0Sep 29: #24, -3.0Sep 30: #24, -3.0Oct 1: #24, -3.0
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 124-3.01447Deshaun Watson2–1
Sep 3024-3.01447Deshaun Watson2–1
Sep 2924-3.01447Deshaun Watson2–1
Sep 2825-3.01447Deshaun Watson2–1
Sep 2725-2.91447Deshaun Watson2–1
Sep 2627-3.51435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2527-3.51435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2426-3.51435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2326-3.51435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2226-3.51435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2127-3.61435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 2028-4.11435Deshaun Watson1–1
Sep 1931-5.51412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1831-5.51412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1731-5.51412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1631-5.51412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1531-5.51412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1431-5.41412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1329-5.31412Deshaun Watson0–1
Sep 1228-4.21427Deshaun Watson0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that CLE wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameCLE winPickResult
1 @ JAX Jaguars
Sun 1:00 PM
19% JAX 10–34 L pick ✓
2 @ TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
26% TB 23–19 W pick ✕
3 vs CAR Panthers
Sun 1:00 PM
57% CLE 18–21 W pick ✓
4 vs PIT Steelers
Thu 8:15 PM
56% CLE pending
5 @ NYJ Jets
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
6 vs BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
7 @ TEN Titans
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
8 @ PIT Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
9 @ NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
10 vs HOU Texans
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
12 vs LV Raiders
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
13 vs CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
14 vs ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
15 @ NYG Giants
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
16 @ BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
17 vs IND Colts
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
18 @ CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending