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Analyst · Week 3
Is the news layer helping?
Since the layer went live, over 93 graded claims:
- The adjusted forecast has been worse than the stats model alone: net change in squared error (Brier) of +0.334, where negative is better.
- 42 of 93 claims pushed the number toward the actual result.
- It changed the final pick in 1 game, and those flips went 1–0.
This is the whole test. News can't be backtested the way the base model was (2010–25), so the layer earns its place only forward, and only if it lowers the error over many games, not on any one result. Its job is to move the number toward the truth, not to rescue a pick: when it cut a heavy home pick by 10 points and the team still lost, the move was correct (it lowered the error) even though the pick was wrong: the base model had simply started too far above the market. Picks where we disagree with the market's final price are our weaker spot (about 44% in the backtest, versus 68% when we agree): they're flagged “we differ” on the picks table so you can watch them.
What we do with the news, step by step
This page is the news layer's public notebook. In plain terms:
- Before kickoff, every run pulls the feeds and attaches new items to the games they concern. Items published after a game has started are never read: in-game news is not a prediction input.
- The reader turns new items into claims: a type (QB change, key starter out, resting starters…), a team, a player, a direction, and a confidence.
- The filters decide, in the same run, whether a claim is applied or declined. Declined if it is below the confidence floor for its type, if the model already counts it (the player is on the injury report, the QB is already the named starter), or if it is the kind of story that has no place (offseason hires, turf, "limited in practice").
- Applied claims move the probability right then, by a fixed number of points for the type, scaled by confidence, capped. That adjusted number is the pick. "Model 74% → analyst 76%" on a game below means exactly that.
- After the final, every claim is graded, applied or declined: did it point the right way, and did it lower the error? Declined claims are graded as if they had been applied, so we learn whether the filter was right to say no.
- Once a month, with enough graded cases, the rules change for future weeks: a type that keeps hurting loses weight; a rejection reason that keeps "would have helped" gets loosened. Past picks are never touched. Every rule change is dated in the changelog.
A claim only affects the game it is attached to. It does not carry into next week's model: a starter who misses Week 2 is caught by the injury report by then, and the model counts him there.
How it works
Sources: ProFootballTalk, CBS and ESPN feeds; the National Weather Service forecast at kickoff for outdoor stadiums; the nflverse injury report and named starters are what the model already counts. The reader (one language-model call per game, only when there is new news) returns typed claims about things not already counted. A fixed table turns each claim into points, scaled by the reader's confidence, capped per type and ±10 in total. Weather is logged at zero weight until a season of grading says otherwise.
| Claim type | Max points |
|---|---|
| starting QB change not yet in the feed | 6.0 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report | 2.0 |
| key starter returning | 1.5 |
| resting starters / playing backups | 8.0 |
| suspension | 2.0 |
| coaching change | 2.0 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for | 1.5 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil | 1.0 |
| unusual travel or schedule disruption | 1.0 |
| weather at kickoff (logged, zero weight) | 0.0 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) | 0.5 |
Scorecard by claim type
After each final: did the move go the right way, and did it lower the squared error (Brier)? Negative Brier change is good. Types that don't earn their weight get zeroed at season's end.
| Type | Claims | Graded | Avg pts | Helped | Brier Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report | 96 | 58 | 1.9 | 29/58 | +0.021 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) | 21 | 12 | 0.4 | 5/12 | +0.008 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed | 12 | 9 | 5.4 | 2/9 | +0.294 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for | 10 | 7 | 1.1 | 4/7 | +0.007 |
| unusual travel or schedule disruption | 3 | 3 | 0.8 | 1/3 | +0.005 |
| weather at kickoff (logged, zero weight) | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0/2 | +0.000 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | 0/1 | +0.010 |
| coaching change | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1/1 | -0.010 |
Shadow scorecard · what we declined
Rejected claims are kept at zero weight and graded as if applied. If a rejection reason keeps "helping", the rule is too strict; if "other" keeps hurting, it stays out. This is how the layer learns.
| Rejected because | Type | Claims | Graded | Would have helped | Brier Δ if applied |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') | key_player_out | 111 | 81 | 38/81 | +0.043 |
| retired: now on the injury report | key_player_out | 61 | 59 | 31/59 | -0.015 |
| confidence 0.75 below floor for other | other | 33 | 27 | 10/27 | +0.018 |
| no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') | qb_change | 30 | 22 | 7/22 | +0.470 |
| return of a player the model was not counting out | key_player_return | 25 | 18 | 11/18 | -0.032 |
| confidence 0.65 below floor for other | other | 14 | 13 | 7/13 | -0.002 |
| confidence 0.70 below floor for other | other | 8 | 4 | 2/4 | +0.001 |
| confidence 0.60 below floor for other | other | 5 | 3 | 2/3 | -0.002 |
| confidence 0.45 below floor for key_player_out | key_player_out | 4 | 2 | 2/2 | -0.009 |
| confidence 0.65 below floor for motivation | motivation | 4 | 4 | 2/4 | -0.007 |
| confidence 0.75 below floor for turmoil | turmoil | 4 | 4 | 3/4 | -0.005 |
| no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') | suspension | 4 | 3 | 1/3 | +0.033 |
| offseason / logistics story, already priced in | motivation | 4 | 4 | 0/4 | +0.047 |
| soft status (limited/questionable/cleared) | key_player_return | 4 | 3 | 2/3 | -0.002 |
| confidence 0.35 below floor for key_player_out | key_player_out | 3 | 2 | 0/2 | +0.012 |
| confidence 0.70 below floor for turmoil | turmoil | 3 | 3 | 2/3 | +0.001 |
| not an in-week coaching change | coaching_change | 3 | 3 | 1/3 | +0.011 |
| offseason / logistics story, already priced in | other | 3 | 3 | 0/3 | +0.010 |
| already on the injury report | key_player_out | 2 | 2 | 1/2 | +0.005 |
| confidence 0.30 below floor for key_player_out | key_player_out | 2 | 2 | 1/2 | -0.001 |
| confidence 0.40 below floor for key_player_out | key_player_out | 2 | 2 | 0/2 | +0.013 |
| retired: schedule feed now names this QB | qb_change | 2 | 2 | 0/2 | +0.104 |
| QB is already the named starter | qb_change | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | +0.063 |
| confidence 0.00 below floor for coaching_change | coaching_change | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | +0.000 |
| confidence 0.00 below floor for qb_change | qb_change | 1 | 0 | – | – |
| confidence 0.30 below floor for other | other | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | +0.002 |
| confidence 0.50 below floor for other | other | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | -0.002 |
| confidence 0.55 below floor for other | other | 1 | 0 | – | – |
| confidence 0.60 below floor for coaching_change | coaching_change | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | -0.007 |
| confidence 0.60 below floor for motivation | motivation | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | +0.006 |
| confidence 0.60 below floor for turmoil | turmoil | 1 | 0 | – | – |
| confidence 0.65 below floor for coaching_change | coaching_change | 1 | 0 | – | – |
| confidence 0.65 below floor for travel | travel | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | -0.005 |
| offseason / logistics story, already priced in | coaching_change | 1 | 1 | 1/1 | -0.010 |
Season: stats model 28–18, model + analyst 29–17; 35 games moved, 1 picks flipped (1 won).
ATL @ GB Thu 8:15 PM
model 73% home → analyst 76% (+3.8 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 64.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Partly Cloudy
· final 35–14
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Cornerback placed on IR ahead of Week 3 | ATL | A.J. Terrell | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.027 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report DL Da'Shawn Hand placed on IR with season-ending quad injury from Week 1 | ATL | Da'Shawn Hand | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.027 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Tua Tagovailoa listed as doubtful for Week 2 vs Panthers; Cooper Rush starting instead | ATL | Tua Tagovailoa | 0.95 | +5.7 | api | hurt +0.080 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Cooper Rush to start for Falcons vs Panthers Week 2; Tua Tagovailoa doubtful with oblique injury | ATL | Cooper Rush | 0.95 | +5.7 | api | hurt +0.080 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Falcons QB situation unsettled; Cooper Rush and Michael Penix Jr. splitting reps Wednesday, starter not named for Week 2 vs Packers | ATL | 0.75 | +4.5 | api | hurt +0.064 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Could debut for Falcons on Thursday night; Stefanski said timing of decision unclear after 34-3 loss to Panthers | ATL | Michael Penix Jr. | 0.65 | -3.9 | api | helped -0.057 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Left guard ruled out vs. Falcons | GB | Aaron Banks | 0.99 | -2.0 | api | helped -0.029 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Right tackle out for season with torn patellar tendon | GB | Zach Bako-Bewele | 0.99 | -2.0 | api | helped -0.029 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Tore patellar tendon vs. Jets in Week 2 | GB | Zach Bako-Bewele | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.028 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') WR remains in New Jersey being evaluated after back injury sustained in Week 2 OT win; status unclear for Thursday | GB | Jayden Reed | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | helped -0.022 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Cornerstone cornerback dealing with groin issue heading into Thursday night game | ATL | A.J. Terrell | 0.65 | +1.3 | api | hurt +0.019 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Ruled out of Jets game Week 2; status for Thursday vs Falcons unclear | GB | Jayden Reed | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | helped -0.019 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out DL passed concussion protocol and will play Week 3 vs Falcons | GB | Javon Hargrave | 0.85 | +1.3 | api | hurt +0.018 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out CB making 2026 debut tonight after being unavailable to start season | ATL | Billy Bowman | 0.70 | -1.1 | api | helped -0.015 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil declined: confidence 0.70 below floor for turmoil Falcons lost 34-3 to Panthers in Week 2; Drake London got into verbal altercation with fan; team described as not ready for prime time | ATL | 0.70 | +0.7 | api | hurt +0.010 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Packers film room: Lukas Van Ness is off to a strong start in 2026
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Here comes Kevin Zeitler to save the day
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Buccaneers vs. Packers: Initial injury report for Week 4
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Falcons sign Gervon Dexter to 4 year, $78 million deal
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Falcons DT Gervon Dexter agrees to four-year extension
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Falcons DT Gervon Dexter agrees to four-year extension
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Falcons reach 4-year, $78 million extension with DT Gervon Dexter weeks after landing him in a trade
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Are the Falcons the best team in the NFC South? ft. Aaron Freeman: Falcoholic Live, Ep391
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Chris Godwin, Yaya Diaby among Buccaneers out of practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Chris Godwin, Yaya Diaby among Buccaneers out of practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Former Badgers standout offensive lineman to sign with Packers
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Packers Injury Report: Jayden Reed goes on injured reserve
LAC @ BUF Sun 1:00 PM
model 82% home → analyst 85% (+3.4 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 64.0°F, wind 12.0 mph, Partly Sunny
· final 16–24
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Tight end placed on injured reserve | LAC | David Njoku | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.006 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for Chargers 0-2 start; first time Jim Harbaugh 0-2 as head coach; team morale issues evident | LAC | 0.70 | +1.1 | api | helped -0.004 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) Chargers signed QB DJ Uiagalelei to active roster (Trey Pipkins III placed on IR) | LAC | 0.85 | +0.4 | api | helped -0.001 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report DB placed on IR | BUF | Jordan Hancock | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report OL ruled out for Week 3 vs Bills | LAC | Kayode Awosika | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.006 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report WR ruled out for Week 3 vs Bills | LAC | Brenen Thompson | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.006 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Tight end placed on injured reserve | LAC | Charlie Kolar | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.006 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report DT underwent appendectomy, out for game | BUF | T.J. Sanders | 0.90 | -1.8 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') AC joint shoulder injury suffered in Week 2 vs Lions; status for Week 3 vs Chargers in doubt | BUF | D.J. Moore | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | hurt +0.006 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') DT underwent appendectomy; status for Week 3 unclear | BUF | T.J. Sanders | 0.70 | -1.4 | api | hurt +0.005 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Added to injury report as questionable for Sunday; backup QB status uncertain | LAC | Trey Lance | 0.60 | +1.2 | api | helped -0.004 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Tight end Patrick Herbert elevated to active roster for first time; can now be targeted by QB Justin Herbert | LAC | Patrick Herbert | 0.75 | -0.4 | api | hurt +0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Bills signed WR Greg Dortch to active roster from practice squad | BUF | 0.75 | +0.4 | api | helped -0.001 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other WR signed to active roster from practice squad Friday before game | BUF | Greg Dortch | 0.75 | +0.4 | api | helped -0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.70 below floor for other QB DJ Uiagalelei signed to active roster as backup; Trey Lance listed questionable | LAC | DJ Uiagalelei | 0.70 | +0.3 | api | helped -0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.70 below floor for other WR signed to active roster from practice squad to bolster receiving corps | LAC | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | 0.70 | -0.3 | api | hurt +0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for other Rookie WR Skyler Bell expected to make NFL debut vs Chargers | BUF | Skyler Bell | 0.65 | +0.3 | api | helped -0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for other Chargers signed QB DJ Uiagalelei to active roster after placing Trey Pipkins on IR; backup QB depth affected | LAC | 0.65 | +0.3 | api | helped -0.001 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Drake Maye downplays shoulder issue landing him on Patriots injury report
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Los Angeles Chargers news: Should the Bolts look into signing Tyreek Hill?
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patriots vs. Bills series history ahead of Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL power rankings: Bills are No. 1, but nobody knows what to make of the Patriots right now
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Rams defeat Eagles; Chiefs topple Raiders
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bills broadcast map for Week 4 against Patriots
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Keon Coleman out of practice for Bills, Deone Walker limited
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Keon Coleman out of practice for Bills, Deone Walker limited
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patriots vs. Bills Wednesday injury report: Christian Gonzalez among three sidelined starters
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Will the Buffalo Bills defeat the New England Patriots in Week 4?
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patriots confident in bounce-back skills heading into Bills matchup
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bills penalties even worse than you likely thought against the Chargers
CAR @ CLE Sun 1:00 PM
model 54% home → analyst 57% (+3.0 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 67.0°F, wind 12.0 mph, Sunny
· final 18–21
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report RB placed on IR with core muscle injury, out at least 6 weeks | CAR | Jonathon Brooks | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.017 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for Mike Tomlin's 'Browns is the Browns' criticism motivated the team; HC Monken said players took it to heart before Week 2 win | CLE | 0.70 | +1.1 | api | helped -0.009 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Browns plan to re-evaluate QB situation after Week 2, opening door for potential Sanders start; Watson had shaky Week 2 performance | CLE | Shedeur Sanders | 0.65 | -3.9 | api | hurt +0.037 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Linebacker ruled out for Week 3 | CAR | Devin Lloyd | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.017 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') RB aggravated groin injury in Week 2, week-to-week status | CAR | Jonathon Brooks | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.013 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for declined: offseason / logistics story, already priced in Home opener with fan hostility toward Deshaun Watson; booed in preseason, now seeking redemption | CLE | 0.70 | -1.1 | api | hurt +0.010 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, betting price, market margin, totals, for every game, including Browns-Steelers, Texans-Cowboys
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Steelers vs. Browns prices, picks, prediction: Best bets, top player props for Thursday Night Football in Week 4
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Steelers trying to end this nightmare 46-year Thursday night losing streak in Week 4 against Browns
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Aaron Rodgers playing final 'Thursday Night Football' game vs Browns
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Panthers vs Lions: Storylines
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Use DraftKings promo code to claim $150 in bonus bets by targeting Steelers-Browns, Thursday Night Football
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS to get $1,500 bonus bets by targeting Steelers-Browns, Thursday Night Football
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Browns vs. Steelers: Winner takes the lead in AFC North in 'Thursday Night Football' matchup
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – 5 Qs Lions vs. Panthers preview: Bryce Young’s inconsistencies + impact of injuries
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Our experts face off on Steelers at Browns, Cowboys vs. Texans and more
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns: How to watch Thursday Night Football tonight
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – AFC North: Steelers trade away cornerback the night before Browns TNF matchup
NYJ @ DET Sun 1:00 PM
model 81% home → analyst 84% (+3.8 pts)
· final 24–31
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report WR underwent season-ending surgery | NYJ | Arian Smith | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report DL placed on injured reserve this week after core muscle surgery; expected back this season | NYJ | David Onyemata | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Placed on injured reserve | DET | Avonte Maddox | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Rookie WR placed on injured reserve, will miss at least four games with ankle injury from Week 1 | NYJ | Omar Cooper Jr. | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Safety ruled out for Week 2 vs. Packers | NYJ | Minkah Fitzpatrick | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Safety will not return to practice this week | DET | Kerby Joseph | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Safety will not return to practice this week | DET | Brian Branch | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') TE week-to-week with thumb injury; status uncertain for Week 3 | NYJ | Mason Taylor | 0.65 | +1.3 | api | helped -0.005 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: confidence 0.45 below floor for key_player_out WR added to injury report as limited participant; status uncertain for Week 3 | NYJ | Adonai Mitchell | 0.45 | +0.9 | api | helped -0.003 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Jets sign OL Kohl Levao to their active roster
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Jets sign OL Kohl Levao to their active roster
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Detroit Lions announce low-cost, same-day ticket program
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Panthers vs Lions: Storylines
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – 5 Qs Lions vs. Panthers preview: Bryce Young’s inconsistencies + impact of injuries
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Cowboys, not the Lions, trading for Steelers CB Joey Porter Jr.
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Panthers are all sorts of banged up heading into Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bears coach says ‘direction’s already been made’ about QB choice vs. Jets, but real question remains
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Jameson Williams won't be charged, following assault investigation
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Lions coach Dan Campbell weighs in on reviewable pass interference
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Minkah Fitzpatrick has "really good chance" of returning to Jets lineup this week
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Minkah Fitzpatrick has "really good chance" of returning to Jets lineup this week
HOU @ IND Sun 1:00 PM
model 49% home → analyst 48% (-1.5 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 66.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Sunny
· final 17–19
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Placed on IR to make roster room for Darius Slayton signing | IND | Micheal Clemons | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.020 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) WR signed to reunite with QB Daniel Jones, replacing Pierce | IND | Darius Slayton | 0.80 | +0.4 | api | helped -0.004 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Placed on injured reserve after aggravating surgically repaired left heel; no timetable for return | IND | Alec Pierce | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.020 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Ruled out for Week 2 vs. Bengals with hamstring injury suffered in Wednesday practice | HOU | Nico Collins | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.019 |
| suspension declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') WR faces minimum three-game suspension after arrest; blood-alcohol level nearly three times legal limit | IND | Keenan Allen | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.020 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Misses practice Thursday; expected to be out again this weekend | HOU | Nico Collins | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out WR signed to reunite with QB Daniel Jones after Alec Pierce injury | IND | Darius Slayton | 0.85 | +1.3 | api | helped -0.013 |
| key starter returning declined: soft status (limited/questionable/cleared) OT returns to practice Thursday after missing time | HOU | Trent Brown | 0.75 | -1.1 | api | hurt +0.012 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, betting price, market margin, totals, for every game, including Browns-Steelers, Texans-Cowboys
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Value of Things: By the Numbers
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Joey Porter Jr. reportedly has 'a chance' to suit up for Cowboys this week vs. Texans
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Are the Texans already at the “win or go home” point of 2026?
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Our experts face off on Steelers at Browns, Cowboys vs. Texans and more
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Houston Texans News: Thursday October 1, 2026
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Cowboys practice without CBs Shavon Revel, Cobie Durant
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Cowboys practice without CBs Shavon Revel, Cobie Durant
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Will Anderson, Jadeveon Clowney, Nico Collins are limited practice participants
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Will Anderson, Jadeveon Clowney, Nico Collins are limited practice participants
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Commanders vs. Colts Wednesday injury report: Rachaad White only player in London not practicing
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Ashton Dulin remains sidelined by ankle injury for Wednesday's practice
NE @ JAX Sun 1:00 PM
model 58% home → analyst 62% (+4.0 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 82.0°F, wind 7.0 mph, Mostly Sunny
· final 6–35
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Safety placed on injured reserve | NE | Dell Pettus | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Right guard placed on injured reserve with ankle fracture | NE | Mike Onwenu | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Safety out for Week 3 | NE | Craig Woodson | 0.90 | +1.8 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Linebacker ruled out for Week 3 | NE | Dre'Mont Jones | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Guard suffered broken ankle in Week 2 game vs. Steelers (Sep 20) | NE | Mike Onwenu | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Safety injured; Patriots exploring free agency replacements | NE | Dell Pettus | 0.85 | +1.7 | api | helped -0.014 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Safety injured; Patriots exploring free agency replacements | NE | Craig Woodson | 0.85 | +1.7 | api | helped -0.014 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Linebacker out of practice Thursday; defensive starter sidelined | NE | Dre'Mont Jones | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.012 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Joins New England's sidelined group per Thursday injury report | NE | Eli Raridon | 0.70 | +1.4 | api | helped -0.011 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Drake Maye downplays shoulder issue landing him on Patriots injury report
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patriots vs. Bills series history ahead of Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – 5 Questions with Cincy Jungle: Don’t Forget About Tee Higgins
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Jaguars vs. Bengals: Matchup History Through the Decades
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – What signing Matt Pryor means for the Patriots
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – The Bengals are the only AFC team Trevor Lawrence has never beaten
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL power rankings: Bills are No. 1, but nobody knows what to make of the Patriots right now
- Sep 30 · CBS NFL – Mike Vrabel refutes report of alleged rift with Drake Maye after gossip grows legs
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bills broadcast map for Week 4 against Patriots
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Drake Maye: I love playing for Mike Vrabel, that's not going to change
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patriots vs. Bills Wednesday injury report: Christian Gonzalez among three sidelined starters
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – CB Christian Gonzalez, QB Drake Maye have shoulder injuries, but Maye says he's fine
KC @ MIA Sun 1:00 PM
model 40% home → analyst 40% (-0.4 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 83.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Sunny
· final 24–10
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) Dolphins bringing in kickers for tryouts; Riley Patterson struggling | MIA | 0.80 | -0.4 | api | helped -0.003 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report WR ruled out for Week 3 | MIA | Caleb Douglas | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report LT ruled out; undrafted rookie Kahlil Benson to start at left tackle | KC | Josh Simmons | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.016 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Left tackle (2025 1st-round pick) week-to-week with back injury; missed Week 1 | KC | Josh Simmons | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | hurt +0.012 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Kicker struggling; Dolphins bringing in kickers for tryouts ahead of Week 3 | MIA | Riley Patterson | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | helped -0.010 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Wide receiver departed Week 2 game with heel injury; availability for Week 3 unclear | MIA | Alec Pierce | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | helped -0.010 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Dolphins bringing in kickers for tryouts due to Riley Patterson struggles; potential kicker change | MIA | 0.75 | -0.4 | api | helped -0.003 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Undrafted rookie left tackle filling in for Simmons; has not allowed a sack in first two starts | KC | Kahlil Benson | 0.75 | -0.4 | api | helped -0.003 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for other Defensive end to wear Guardian Cap after fifth documented concussion; returns to practice but protective equipment may affect performance | MIA | Chop Robinson | 0.65 | -0.3 | api | helped -0.003 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patrick Mahomes: Raiders' 3-0 record is for real, expecting a hostile environment Sunday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Patrick Mahomes: Raiders' 3-0 record is for real, expecting a hostile environment Sunday
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patrick Mahomes values ‘bragging rights’ over Maxx Crosby
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Week 4 NFL picks against the market margin, predictions for every game: Raiders ready for their biggest game in Las Vegas vs. Chiefs
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Brian Flores' diabolical blitz rates -- equaling nearly 100 tons of pressure -- fueling Vikings' 2026 rampage
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Rams defeat Eagles; Chiefs topple Raiders
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – ‘Which’ Wednesday: Is talent or coaching driving the new-look Chiefs offense?
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Josh Simmons dealing with bulging disc, will not practice on Wednesday
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Josh Simmons dealing with bulging disc, will not practice on Wednesday
- Sep 30 · CBS NFL – One NFL team is facing a nightmare early schedule not seen in the last 40 seasons
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – The Chiefs are using play action as well as anyone in the NFL
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Miami Dolphins fan confidence survey in Week 4
TEN @ NYG Sun 1:00 PM
model 69% home → analyst 59% (-9.4 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 63.0°F, wind 20.0 mph, Chance Rain Showers
· final 7–12
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Jaxson Dart ruled out for season with knee injury; Jameis Winston becomes starting QB | NYG | 0.99 | -5.9 | api | hurt +0.042 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Season-ending knee surgery for full meniscus tear; Jameis Winston now starter | NYG | Jaxson Dart | 1.00 | -2.0 | api | hurt +0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Linebacker expected to miss time with sprained ankle; missed Thursday practice | NYG | Brian Burns | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | hurt +0.010 |
| weather at kickoff (logged, zero weight) wind 20 mph at kickoff (Chance Rain Showers) | NYG | 1.00 | +0.0 | weather | pending +0.000 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: retired: schedule feed now names this QB Jaxson Dart ruled out for season with severe knee injury; Jameis Winston becomes starting QB | NYG | Jameis Winston | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.040 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Jaxson Dart suffered severe knee injury; Jameis Winston becomes starting QB | NYG | Jameis Winston | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.040 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Sprained MCL, expected 2-to-4 week absence from Week 2 game vs Rams | NYG | Jaxson Dart | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.012 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Left Week 2 game with left ankle injury in fourth quarter vs Rams | NYG | Brian Burns | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.011 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Injured in fourth quarter of Week 2 game vs Rams | NYG | Andrew Thomas | 0.80 | -1.6 | api | hurt +0.010 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Headed for MRI after injury in Week 2 vs Rams; status unclear | NYG | Malik Nabers | 0.70 | -1.4 | api | hurt +0.009 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for declined: confidence 0.60 below floor for motivation Brian Daboll (Titans OC) facing former team Giants that fired him | TEN | 0.60 | -0.9 | api | hurt +0.006 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: offseason / logistics story, already priced in Titans elevated RB Michael Carter and signed DB Erick Hallett to active roster due to offensive backfield injuries | TEN | 0.85 | -0.4 | api | hurt +0.003 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – It wouldn't shock me IF ... NFL Week 4: Josh Allen continues historic streak, Cam Ward gets benched
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Giants and Seahawks
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Carnell Tate, Keldric Faulk lone Titans bright spots
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Charlie Jones chose Giants over chance to return to Cincinnati Bengals
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Report: Brian Burns tore his meniscus in addition to his ACL
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Report: Brian Burns tore his meniscus in addition to his ACL
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Russell Wilson explains why Giants' controversial J.J. McCarthy trade could be a 'great' fit
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Special teams let Texas down against Tennessee
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Ravens Week 4 injury report: LT Ronnie Stanley returns to practice
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Giants bringing back Jihad Ward off Vikings practice squad
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Derrick Henry: Facing the Titans will be "a crazy moment"
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Derrick Henry: Facing the Titans will be "a crazy moment"
CIN @ PIT Sun 1:00 PM
model 41% home → analyst 38% (-2.8 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 67.0°F, wind 14.0 mph, Sunny
· final 27–30
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Cornerback inactive vs Bengals due to contract impasse; will not play Week 3 | PIT | Joey Porter Jr. | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.023 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report WR ruled out with foot injury for Week 2 vs. Patriots; will miss Week 3 matchup vs. Bengals | PIT | Michael Pittman Jr. | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.023 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Ruled out for Week 2 vs. Bengals | CIN | Jadeveon Clowney | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.022 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil CB rejected $27M contract extension, has not played in first two games, at prices with team since offseason | PIT | Joey Porter Jr. | 0.85 | -0.8 | api | hurt +0.010 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Won't play in Week 3 | PIT | Rico Dowdle | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.023 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Placed on IR with torn ligament in thumb | CIN | Andrei Iosivas | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.022 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Headed to IR with torn ligament in thumb | CIN | Andrei Iosivas | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.022 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Offensive lineman suffers bone break | PIT | Spencer Anderson | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.020 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') CB unlikely to play in Week 3; hasn't played this season despite limited practice participation | PIT | Joey Porter Jr. | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | hurt +0.018 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') RB exited Week 2 game vs. Patriots with toe injury; status for Week 3 vs. Bengals unclear | PIT | Rico Dowdle | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | hurt +0.018 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') OT seen in walking boot after Week 2 loss to Patriots; injury status unclear but suggests potential availability concern | PIT | Troy Fautanu | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | hurt +0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') DL exited Week 2 vs Patriots with shoulder injury; status for Week 3 unclear | PIT | Dre'Mont Jones | 0.60 | -1.2 | api | hurt +0.014 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out Cornerback expected to return Week 3 vs. Cincinnati after contract/availability issue | PIT | Joey Porter Jr. | 0.75 | +1.1 | api | helped -0.013 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for turmoil CB rejected $27M contract extension, has not played in first two games, at prices with team since offseason | PIT | Joey Porter Jr. | 0.75 | -0.8 | api | hurt +0.009 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Steelers offense struggled significantly in Week 2 loss to Patriots (20-3); Aaron Rodgers acknowledged not playing 'winning football' | PIT | 0.75 | -0.4 | api | hurt +0.005 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, betting price, market margin, totals, for every game, including Browns-Steelers, Texans-Cowboys
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Steelers vs. Browns prices, picks, prediction: Best bets, top player props for Thursday Night Football in Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – There's "a chance" Joey Porter Jr. will play for the Cowboys on Sunday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – There's "a chance" Joey Porter Jr. will play for the Cowboys on Sunday
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Steelers trying to end this nightmare 46-year Thursday night losing streak in Week 4 against Browns
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Aaron Rodgers playing final 'Thursday Night Football' game vs Browns
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Use DraftKings promo code to claim $150 in bonus bets by targeting Steelers-Browns, Thursday Night Football
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Joey Porter Jr. trade grades for Cowboys and Steelers after CB gets dealt for future draft picks
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Joey Porter Jr. reportedly has 'a chance' to suit up for Cowboys this week vs. Texans
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Charlie Jones chose Giants over chance to return to Cincinnati Bengals
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Use BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS to get $1,500 bonus bets by targeting Steelers-Browns, Thursday Night Football
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Browns vs. Steelers: Winner takes the lead in AFC North in 'Thursday Night Football' matchup
SEA @ WAS Sun 1:00 PM
model 28% home → analyst 20% (-8.2 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 62.0°F, wind 13.0 mph, Slight Chance Light Rain
· final 31–33
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Jayden Daniels ruled out with dislocated elbow; Marcus Mariota named starter for Week 3 | WAS | Marcus Mariota | 0.98 | -5.9 | api | hurt +0.082 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Jayden Daniels out for at least this week's game vs Seahawks; Marcus Mariota to start | WAS | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.080 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Ruled out of Cardinals game (Week 2) | SEA | Anthony Bradford | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.028 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Key defensive player ruled out for Seahawks (safety injuries continue per injury report) | SEA | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.022 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Jayden Daniels dislocated left elbow in Week 2; Mariota to start Week 3 | WAS | Marcus Mariota | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.080 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Marcus Mariota expected to start in place of injured Jayden Daniels | WAS | 0.85 | -5.1 | api | hurt +0.072 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Darnold optimistic he'll be starting QB on Sunday; ramping up practice reps this week after injury | SEA | Sam Darnold | 0.75 | +4.5 | api | helped -0.066 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Jayden Daniels out for at least this week's game against Seahawks with elbow injury | WAS | Jayden Daniels | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.027 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') DB Nick Cross suffered internal injury in Week 2, remained in Dallas | WAS | Nick Cross | 0.75 | -1.5 | api | hurt +0.022 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Seahawks Jaxon Smith-Njigba reveals the most difficult cornerback he's ever played against
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Giants and Seahawks
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Seahawks Week 4 injury report: Julian Love returns, Ty Okada remains out
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Seahawks S Julian Love returns to limited practice
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Mike Macdonald on Rashid Shaheed's limited production: "The ball will find him"
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Seahawks All-22 review of the rookies in frustrating loss to Commanders
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Commanders vs. Colts Wednesday injury report: Rachaad White only player in London not practicing
- Sep 30 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, picks, predictions: Computer model backs Giants and Seahawks
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Jayden Daniels is one of 10 Commanders limited in Wednesday's practice
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Ashton Dulin remains sidelined by ankle injury for Wednesday's practice
- Sep 30 · CBS NFL – Seattle WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba says Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith is 'like the LeBron James' of all-time Buckeyes
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Seahawks sign linebacker to practice squad, release D’Anthony Bell
ARI @ SF Sun 4:05 PM
model 81% home → analyst 79% (-1.8 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 68.0°F, wind 7.0 mph, Sunny
· final 30–36
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Cornerback placed on injured reserve | ARI | Will Johnson | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Placed on injured reserve | SF | C.J. West | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report TE tore MCL in Week 2 vs Dolphins, out for season | SF | Jake Tonges | 0.90 | -1.8 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Ruled out for multiple weeks with pulled calf; will not play Sunday | SF | Nick Bosa | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report WR ruled out with high ankle sprain, expected to miss 3-6 weeks | SF | Demarcus Robinson | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Ruled out for Sunday | SF | Romello Height | 0.90 | -1.8 | api | hurt +0.008 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Top draft pick moved to Injured Reserve | SF | De'Zhaun Stribling | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Rookie suffered injury, potentially missing more than a month | SF | Romello Height | 0.80 | -1.6 | api | hurt +0.007 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') CB Will Johnson has a neck injury that could end his season | ARI | Will Johnson | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.005 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') WR carted off with ankle injury vs Dolphins on 9/20; status for Cardinals game unclear but injury occurred this week | SF | Demarcus Robinson | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | hurt +0.005 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') WR expected to play Sunday per latest report (Sep 27), contradicting earlier questionable status; model may not have updated | SF | Mike Evans | 0.60 | +1.2 | api | helped -0.004 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Added to injury report Thursday with calf issue; status unclear for Sunday | SF | Nick Bosa | 0.60 | -1.2 | api | hurt +0.005 |
| key starter returning declined: soft status (limited/questionable/cleared) Expected to play Sunday after being questionable with hip injury | SF | Mike Evans | 0.75 | +1.1 | api | helped -0.004 |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for turmoil QB Brissett publicly criticized WR Michael Wilson and questioned Marvin Harrison Jr. usage; trade speculation on Harrison Jr. | ARI | 0.75 | +0.8 | api | helped -0.003 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Added to injury report with calf issue; status unclear for Sunday | SF | Nick Bosa | 0.75 | -0.4 | api | hurt +0.001 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other 49ers signed veteran WR Brandin Cooks to practice squad to address WR injuries | SF | 0.75 | +0.4 | api | helped -0.001 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Christian McCaffrey has chance to surpass Hall of Famer on Sunday
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Broncos vs. 49ers: 3 Things to Watch in Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Arizona Cardinals news: Cardinals get Arch Manning to lead franchise in new 2027 mock
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – What signing Matt Pryor means for the Patriots
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – NFL Week 4 upset alert: Why these five pick could easily lose, including the 49ers
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Broncos defense bracing for tough matchup versus versatile 49ers offense
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Golden Nuggets: Welcome to Brocktober
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Christian McCaffrey resting Wednesday
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Kyle Shanahan insists ‘there was no relationship issue’ with Dante Pettis after 49ers reunion
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Dre Greenlaw, Trent Williams, Mike Evans won't practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – George Kittle on Mike Evans' injury: Fractured ribs suck
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Insiders share the price tag for the 49ers to trade for Mac Jones
MIN @ TB Sun 4:05 PM
model 41% home → analyst 46% (+5.0 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 84.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Mostly Sunny
· final 23–16
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Kyler Murray ruled out for Week 2 with concussion protocol; Wentz to start vs Bears | MIN | Carson Wentz | 0.95 | +5.7 | api | hurt +0.051 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Defensive lineman ruled out for Week 3 vs Vikings | TB | Rakeem Nunez-Roches | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.015 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Running back placed on IR with thumb injury | MIN | Jordan Mason | 0.90 | +1.8 | api | hurt +0.015 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for Ronde Barber reports mood is not great at Buccaneers headquarters after 0-2 start and home loss to Browns | TB | 0.70 | -1.1 | api | helped -0.009 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) Buccaneers morale issue: Ronde Barber reports 'mood is not great' at headquarters after 0-2 start | TB | 0.80 | +0.4 | api | hurt +0.003 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Murray suffered concussion in Week 1; Carson Wentz started Week 2; Murray expected to return Week 3 | MIN | Kyler Murray | 0.95 | +5.7 | api | hurt +0.051 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Kyler Murray expected to return Week 3; Wentz starting Week 3 game vs TB | MIN | Carson Wentz | 0.95 | +5.7 | api | hurt +0.051 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Rookie starter ruled out for Sunday vs Vikings | TB | Josiah Trotter | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.016 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Rookie outside linebacker ruled out for Sunday vs Vikings | TB | Rueben Bain | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.016 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Punter set to miss some time with hamstring injury; Johnny Hekker added to practice squad | MIN | Brett Thorson | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | hurt +0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') LB did not travel with team to Tampa; questionable for game | MIN | Ivan Pace Jr. | 0.65 | +1.3 | api | hurt +0.011 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for motivation Buccaneers 0-2 start; Todd Bowles says team is 'angrily optimistic' after loss to Browns | TB | 0.65 | -1.0 | api | helped -0.008 | |
| locker-room or organizational turmoil declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for turmoil Ronde Barber reports mood is not great at Buccaneers headquarters after 0-2 start and home-opener loss to Browns | TB | 0.75 | -0.8 | api | helped -0.006 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: confidence 0.35 below floor for key_player_out RB suffered knee injury in Week 2 vs Bears; worked to full practice Friday but hit hard enough to knock helmet off in game | MIN | Aaron Jones | 0.35 | +0.7 | api | hurt +0.006 |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.75 below floor for other Punter Brett Thorson out with hamstring injury; Johnny Hekker added to practice squad as replacement | MIN | Brett Thorson | 0.75 | +0.4 | api | hurt +0.003 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Brian Flores' diabolical blitz rates -- equaling nearly 100 tons of pressure -- fueling Vikings' 2026 rampage
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Buccaneers vs. Packers: Initial injury report for Week 4
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – 3-0 Vikings are a game away from a dubious record
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Aaron Jones limited at practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Giants bringing back Jihad Ward off Vikings practice squad
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – 2026 Minnesota Golden Gophers in the NFL: Week 3
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Chris Godwin, Yaya Diaby among Buccaneers out of practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Chris Godwin, Yaya Diaby among Buccaneers out of practice Wednesday
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Justin Jefferson won't practice Wednesday with ankle sprain
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Vikings Announce Five Practice Squad Signings
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Myles Price Named NFC Special Teams Player of the Week
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Myles Price named NFC special teams player of the week
BAL @ DAL Sun 4:25 PM
model 36% home · no adjustment
· forecast at kickoff: 94.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Chance Rain Showers
· final 34–31
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| unusual travel or schedule disruption Cowboys traveling to Rio de Janeiro, Brazil for Sunday game; unprecedented international travel scenario for both teams | DAL | 0.75 | -0.8 | api | helped -0.005 | |
| unusual travel or schedule disruption Ravens traveling to Brazil for Sunday game; unprecedented international travel scenario | BAL | 0.75 | +0.8 | api | hurt +0.006 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report OT ruled out for Ravens vs Cowboys | BAL | Ronnie Stanley | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | hurt +0.014 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Torn plantar fascia in right foot, suffered Week 2 | DAL | P.J. Locke | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report S will miss a few weeks with torn plantar fascia in right foot | DAL | P.J. Locke | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report CB will miss a few weeks with injuries sustained in Week 2 | DAL | Cobie Durant | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Remains out of practice on Thursday; status unclear for Sunday game | BAL | Zay Flowers | 0.65 | +1.3 | api | hurt +0.010 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') S absent from practice Wednesday; status unclear but not on official injury report yet | DAL | Malik Hooker | 0.60 | -1.2 | api | helped -0.009 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') LB absent from practice Wednesday; status unclear but not on official injury report yet | DAL | DeMarvion Overshown | 0.60 | -1.2 | api | helped -0.009 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out DL full practice participant for first time this season; was out since Week 2 last season with neck injury | BAL | Nnamdi Madubuike | 0.75 | -1.1 | api | helped -0.008 |
| unusual travel or schedule disruption declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for travel International game in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil; Kyle Hamilton states team has plan to mitigate travel impact | BAL | 0.65 | -0.7 | api | helped -0.005 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for other Game played in Brazil (Rio); field condition concerns raised but Cowboys organization downplayed them | DAL | 0.65 | -0.3 | api | helped -0.002 | |
| other (in-week, concrete, high confidence only) declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for other Game scheduled to be played in Brazil; field concerns raised, potential for venue change | BAL | 0.65 | +0.3 | api | hurt +0.002 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Week 4 NFL prices, betting price, market margin, totals, for every game, including Browns-Steelers, Texans-Cowboys
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – There's "a chance" Joey Porter Jr. will play for the Cowboys on Sunday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – There's "a chance" Joey Porter Jr. will play for the Cowboys on Sunday
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Report: Cowboys will not be immediately extending Joey Porter Jr.
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Value of Things: By the Numbers
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Joey Porter Jr. trade grades for Cowboys and Steelers after CB gets dealt for future draft picks
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Cowboys could face a franchise-tag dilemma between George Pickens, Joey Porter Jr.
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Cowboys could face a franchise-tag dilemma between George Pickens, Joey Porter Jr.
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – Joey Porter Jr. reportedly has 'a chance' to suit up for Cowboys this week vs. Texans
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Report: No new contract for Joey Porter Jr. in Dallas (at least for now)
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Report: No new contract for Joey Porter Jr. in Dallas (at least for now)
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Cowboys steal lockdown boundary corner
LV @ NO Sun 4:25 PM
model 66% home → analyst 63% (-2.9 pts)
· final 35–27
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Left tackle suffered severe high ankle sprain, will have surgery; out for Saints vs Raiders | NO | Kelvin Banks Jr. | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | helped -0.025 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Saints ruled out two players for Sunday vs. Raiders (specific names not detailed in headline) | NO | 0.50 | -1.0 | api | helped -0.013 | |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Saints LT carted off with ankle injury in Week 2 game vs Ravens (Sep 20); status for Week 3 vs Raiders unclear but injury occurred within 7 days | NO | Kelvin Banks Jr. | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | helped -0.017 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') LT carted off with ankle injury in Week 1; status for Week 2 vs Raiders unclear but injury occurred within 7 days | NO | Kelvin Banks | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | helped -0.017 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out Tight end was 'very close' to playing in Week 2; expected to return for Week 3 vs Saints | LV | Brock Bowers | 0.75 | -1.1 | api | helped -0.015 |
| motivation / eliminated / nothing to play for declined: confidence 0.65 below floor for motivation Raiders receiver playing emotional game in New Orleans where his brother was killed | LV | Jack Bech | 0.65 | -1.0 | api | helped -0.013 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: confidence 0.30 below floor for key_player_out Saints ruled out two players for Sunday vs Raiders (specific names not stated in available excerpt) | NO | 0.30 | -0.6 | api | helped -0.008 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Power Rankings: Raiders surge ahead of Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Patrick Mahomes: Raiders' 3-0 record is for real, expecting a hostile environment Sunday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Patrick Mahomes: Raiders' 3-0 record is for real, expecting a hostile environment Sunday
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Week 3 Saints Film Review: Highlights from the All 22
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Week 4 NFL picks against the market margin, predictions for every game: Raiders ready for their biggest game in Las Vegas vs. Chiefs
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – The Saints came home after Katrina. What happened next changed New Orleans
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Mark Davis built Aces' WNBA dynasty. Can Raiders finally follow? | Opinion
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Rams defeat Eagles; Chiefs topple Raiders
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Pleasant surprises of the NFL season so far: Brock Purdy for MVP and actual Raiders competence
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Kirk Cousins has seven consecutive victories as a starter
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Week 4 is time to get Ashton Jeanty going
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Andy Reid on having most wins in Las Vegas of any coach: I didn't know that and I don't care
LA @ DEN Sun 8:20 PM
model 51% home → analyst 51% (-0.1 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 80.0°F, wind 7.0 mph, Slight Chance Rain Showers
· final 26–30
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| key starter out, not on the injury report Running back inactive for Week 3 | DEN | RJ Harvey | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.019 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Wide receiver inactive for Week 3; was game-time decision | DEN | Marvin Mims Jr. | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.019 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report Placed on IR on Wednesday | LA | Ronnie Rivers | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.018 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report DPOY expected to miss up to 6 weeks following surgery | LA | Myles Garrett | 0.90 | +1.8 | api | helped -0.017 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report Rookie RB ruled out for SNF game vs. Rams; ankle injury kept him out of practice all week | DEN | Jonah Coleman | 0.95 | -1.9 | api | hurt +0.019 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Star receiver unavailable for Week 3 vs Denver; McVay unsure of availability | LA | Puka Nacua | 0.75 | +1.5 | api | helped -0.014 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out Defensive tackle Aaron Donald confirmed to return for Week 2 after missing 2024 season; makes season debut Monday vs Giants | LA | Aaron Donald | 0.95 | -1.4 | api | hurt +0.014 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Did not participate in practice (DNP); running back injury from Week 2 win vs Jacksonville | DEN | Jonah Coleman | 0.70 | -1.4 | api | hurt +0.014 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: confidence 0.40 below floor for key_player_out Left Week 2 game vs Jacksonville with hamstring injury; status unclear for Week 3 | DEN | JK Dobbins | 0.40 | -0.8 | api | hurt +0.008 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Christian McCaffrey has chance to surpass Hall of Famer on Sunday
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Broncos vs. 49ers: 3 Things to Watch in Week 4
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Matthew Stafford close to becoming the first QB with 150 touchdowns on two teams
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Matthew Stafford close to becoming the first QB with 150 touchdowns on two teams
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Kyle Shanahan downplays Broncos play caller change, calls talk ‘overrated’
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL says DPI call against Rams in Week 3 was unnecessary
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Rams defeat Eagles; Chiefs topple Raiders
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Broncos defense bracing for tough matchup versus versatile 49ers offense
- Oct 1 · CBS NFL – NFL Week 4 injuries: Steelers' Joey Porter Jr. ruled out, Rams' Aaron Donald sits out of practice
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – The Rams defense isn’t the problem
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Five Rams missed practice on Wednesday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Five Rams missed practice on Wednesday
PHI @ CHI Mon 8:15 PM
model 43% home → analyst 34% (-10.0 pts)
· forecast at kickoff: 64.0°F, wind 5.0 mph, Mostly Clear
· final 7–27
| Claim | Team | Player | Conf. | Points (home) | Source | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Caleb Williams ruled out; Tyson Bagent questionable; Case Keenum likely starter | CHI | 0.92 | -5.5 | api | hurt +0.064 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed Hamstring injury in Week 2; week-to-week status, may miss time but not ruled out for Week 3 | CHI | Caleb Williams | 0.75 | -4.5 | api | hurt +0.052 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report QB non-participant in practice Thursday and Friday; will not play Monday | CHI | Tyson Bagent | 0.80 | -1.6 | api | hurt +0.018 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Case Keenum will start at QB for Bears; Tyson Bagent cleared concussion protocol but insufficient prep time | CHI | Case Keenum | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.066 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Tyson Bagent (named starter) placed in concussion protocol; Case Keenum likely to start Week 3 | CHI | 0.95 | -5.7 | api | hurt +0.066 | |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Caleb Williams suffered hamstring injury in Week 2; Tyson Bagent is named starter but Williams' status for Week 3 uncertain: reports indicate he 'could play' but is 'week-to-week' and 'will likely miss some time' | CHI | Caleb Williams | 0.75 | -4.5 | api | hurt +0.052 |
| starting QB change not yet in the feed declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Bagent cleared from concussion protocol, returned to practice Saturday; could start instead of Case Keenum | CHI | Tyson Bagent | 0.65 | +3.9 | api | helped -0.043 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report TE ruled out for Week 3 vs Bears | PHI | Dallas Goedert | 0.95 | +1.9 | api | helped -0.021 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: retired: now on the injury report QB out of practice Thursday and Friday; not expected to play Monday vs Eagles | CHI | Caleb Williams | 0.85 | -1.7 | api | hurt +0.019 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') In concussion protocol; estimated non-participant Thursday | CHI | Tyson Bagent | 0.80 | -1.6 | api | hurt +0.018 |
| key starter out, not on the injury report declined: no ruled-out language (practice status is not 'out') Right hamstring injury suffered Week 2 vs Vikings; status uncertain for Week 3 | CHI | Caleb Williams | 0.65 | -1.3 | api | hurt +0.015 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out Tight end elevated for Monday night game; first appearance since Week 6 of 2021 season | PHI | Zach Ertz | 0.85 | -1.3 | api | hurt +0.014 |
| key starter returning declined: return of a player the model was not counting out Outside linebacker active for Monday Night Football; making 2026 debut | PHI | Jonathan Greenard | 0.80 | -1.2 | api | hurt +0.014 |
12 news items considered
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bears open 21-day practice window for Kyler Gordon
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Bears open 21-day practice window for Kyler Gordon
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Hunting Explosives: Revisiting the Bears’ Big Plays from Week 3
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – NFL Week 4 picks: Rams defeat Eagles; Chiefs topple Raiders
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Chicago Bears Offensive Line Analysis vs. Eagles
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bears coach says ‘direction’s already been made’ about QB choice vs. Jets, but real question remains
- Oct 1 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Five Rams missed practice on Wednesday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Five Rams missed practice on Wednesday
- Oct 1 · ProFootballTalk – Jalen Carter has a hairline fracture in his wrist
- Sep 30 · ProFootballTalk – Zack Baun, DeVonta Smith miss practice for Eagles
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Bears defense looking to build on strong turnaround entering Week 4
- Sep 30 · Yahoo Sports NFL – Falcons reach 4-year, $78 million extension with DT Gervon Dexter weeks after landing him in a trade