NFL

Carolina Panthers

NFC South · 2026 season · predictions are published to show the model works. nothing here is betting advice.Last updated: predictions Oct 1, 11:02 AM ET · results graded Sep 28, 11:22 PM ET
#23
power ranking
-2.4
strength (pts vs average, neutral field)
1–2
record
6.8
projected wins · playoffs 22% · title 0.4%
1442
Elo · off -0.008 · def +0.045
Bryce Young
named starter · rating -0.015
2–1
our picks on their games
Latest change: held at #23 · lost to CLE 21–18.

Ranking history

One row per snapshot (the model re-rates every team every run; one snapshot per day is kept). Strength is what ranks them; rank is just its order.
18162432 Sep 12: #26, -3.4Sep 13: #28, -5.2Sep 14: #30, -5.3Sep 15: #30, -5.3Sep 16: #30, -5.3Sep 17: #30, -5.3Sep 18: #30, -5.3Sep 19: #30, -5.3Sep 20: #21, -1.9Sep 21: #19, -1.9Sep 22: #18, -1.9Sep 23: #18, -1.8Sep 24: #18, -1.8Sep 25: #18, -1.8Sep 26: #18, -1.8Sep 27: #24, -2.4Sep 28: #23, -2.4Sep 29: #23, -2.4Sep 30: #23, -2.4Oct 1: #23, -2.4
SnapshotRankStrengthEloQBRecord
Oct 123-2.41442Bryce Young1–2
Sep 3023-2.41442Bryce Young1–2
Sep 2923-2.41442Bryce Young1–2
Sep 2823-2.41442Bryce Young1–2
Sep 2724-2.41442Bryce Young1–2
Sep 2618-1.81454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2518-1.81454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2418-1.81454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2318-1.81454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2218-1.91454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2119-1.91454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 2021-1.91454Bryce Young1–1
Sep 1930-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1830-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1730-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1630-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1530-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1430-5.31407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1328-5.21407Bryce Young0–1
Sep 1226-3.41434Bryce Young0–0

2026 schedule and our picks

Our pre-kickoff probability that CAR wins, the pick, and how it went. Future games show the current number; it moves until kickoff.
WkGameCAR winPickResult
1 vs CHI Bears
Sun 1:00 PM
43% CHI 59–37 L pick ✓
2 @ ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
47% ATL 34–3 W pick ✕
3 @ CLE Browns
Sun 1:00 PM
43% CLE 18–21 L pick ✓
4 vs DET Lions
Sun 8:20 PM
34% DET pending
6 @ PHI Eagles
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
7 vs TB Buccaneers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
8 @ GB Packers
Thu 8:15 PM
– – pending
9 vs DEN Broncos
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
10 @ NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
11 vs BAL Ravens
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
12 @ TB Buccaneers
Mon 8:15 PM
– – pending
13 @ MIN Vikings
Sun 4:25 PM
– – pending
14 vs NO Saints
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
15 vs CIN Bengals
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
16 @ PIT Steelers
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
17 vs SEA Seahawks
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending
18 vs ATL Falcons
Sun 1:00 PM
– – pending