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Portland at Thornton
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 1:00 PM · Thornton Academy Hill Stadium
Portland team page Thornton team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Thornton, est. 82%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class A South Crabtree
Where Thornton and Portland can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #1 to #4
With a win: best is #1 est. 55% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Westbrook beats Biddeford; South Portland beats Sanford.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 4% chance
Has to happen Windham beats Bonny Eagle; Westbrook beats Biddeford.
Likeliest way also has South Portland beats Sanford; Scarborough beats Edward Little.
Win: #1 · Loss: #1 to #3
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 3% chance
Has to happen Lewiston beats Oxford Hills.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 10 other games this weekend, including Bonny Eagle at Windham, South Portland at Sanford, Scarborough at Edward Little, Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Noble at Massabesic, Fryeburg at Messalonskee and 4 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Scarborough: Thornton won by 56, Portland won by 25
- Thornton won 2 of the last 3 meetings
Portland this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Lewiston | W 40–14 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Scarborough | W 25–0 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Windham | W 39–13 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Edward Little | W 35–7 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Thornton | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Bangor | |
| Sat 10/17 | at Oxford Hills | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Deering | |
| Fri 10/30 | at South Portland |
Thornton this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Scarborough | W 56–0 |
| Fri 9/11 | at South Portland | W 35–21 |
| Sat 9/19 | vs. Bedford (NH) | W 49–7 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Westbrook | W 42–0 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Portland | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Noble | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Sanford | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Bonny Eagle | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Massabesic |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Portland 0, Thornton 28 |
| 2025 | Thornton 36, Portland 0 |
| 2024 | Thornton 14, Portland 35 |
| 2024 | Portland 14, Thornton 7 |
| 2023 | Thornton 24, Portland 14 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Portland and Thornton play?
Portland plays at Thornton on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM, at Thornton Academy Hill Stadium.
Who has the better chance, Portland or Thornton?
Thornton. Our power rating gives Thornton an est. 76% chance to win, by est. 12 points.
What is Portland's record and Crabtree place?
Portland is 4–0 and #2 of 7 in Class A North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Thornton's record and Crabtree place?
Thornton is 4–0 and #3 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Thornton's playoff seeding?
With a win, Thornton finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class A South; with a loss, between #1 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
Can Thornton still be #1 in Class A South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Thornton can finish the week #1 if Windham beats Bonny Eagle, Westbrook beats Biddeford, South Portland beats Sanford and Scarborough beats Edward Little. Our rating puts that at est. 4%.
What does this game mean for Portland's playoff seeding?
With a win, Portland finishes the week between #1 in Class A South; with a loss, between #1 to #3, depending on the week's other results.
Can Portland still be #1 in Class A South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Portland can finish the week #1 if Lewiston beats Oxford Hills. Our rating puts that at est. 3%.
Who won the last meeting between Portland and Thornton?
Thornton won the last meeting in our records, 28–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.