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Mt. Blue at Brunswick
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 12:00 PM · Brunswick High School
Mt. Blue team page Brunswick team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Mt. Blue, est. 52%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class B North Crabtree
Where Brunswick and Mt. Blue can land
Places #1 to #8 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #5 to #6 · Loss: #6 to #8
With a win: best is #5 est. 74% chance
Has to happen Fryeburg beats Messalonskee.
Even with a loss: best is #6 est. 14% chance
Has to happen Biddeford beats Westbrook; Oxford Hills beats Lewiston; Fryeburg beats Messalonskee; Lawrence beats Cony; Skowhegan beats Camden Hills.
Win: #5 to #6 · Loss: #7
With a win: best is #5 est. 88% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Even with a loss: best is #7
#7 no matter what else happens this week.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 7 other games this weekend: Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Fryeburg at Messalonskee, Westbrook at Biddeford, Cony at Lawrence, Greely at Medomak Valley, Skowhegan at Camden Hills, Gorham at Cheverus. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Skowhegan: Brunswick lost by 2, Mt. Blue lost by 5
- Mt. Blue won 1 of the last 2 meetings
Mt. Blue this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Skowhegan | L 21–26 |
| Sat 9/12 | at Camden Hills | W 30–12 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Cony | L 0–14 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Lawrence | L 6–49 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Brunswick | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Messalonskee | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Fryeburg | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Edward Little |
Brunswick this season
| Thu 9/3 | at Biddeford | L 6–28 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Messalonskee | W 28–14 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Fryeburg | L 20–44 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Skowhegan | L 17–19 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Mt. Blue | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Lawrence | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Cony | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Camden Hills |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Mt. Blue 20, Brunswick 0 |
| 2024 | Mt. Blue 15, Brunswick 20 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Mt. Blue and Brunswick play?
Mt. Blue plays at Brunswick on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM, at Brunswick High School.
Who has the better chance, Mt. Blue or Brunswick?
It is close to even: our power rating gives Mt. Blue an est. 52% chance to win, a projected margin of est. 1 point.
What is Mt. Blue's record and Crabtree place?
Mt. Blue is 1–3 and #5 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Brunswick's record and Crabtree place?
Brunswick is 1–3 and #7 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Brunswick's playoff seeding?
With a win, Brunswick finishes the week between #5 to #6 in Class B North; with a loss, between #6 to #8, depending on the week's other results.
Can Brunswick still be #6 in Class B North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Brunswick can finish the week #6 if Biddeford beats Westbrook, Oxford Hills beats Lewiston, Fryeburg beats Messalonskee, Lawrence beats Cony and Skowhegan beats Camden Hills. Our rating puts that at est. 14%.
What does this game mean for Mt. Blue's playoff seeding?
With a win, Mt. Blue finishes the week between #5 to #6 in Class B North; with a loss, between #7, depending on the week's other results.
Who won the last meeting between Mt. Blue and Brunswick?
Mt. Blue won the last meeting in our records, 20–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.