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Maranacook at Telstar
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 1:00 PM · Telstar
Maranacook team page Telstar team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Telstar, est. 51%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · 8-Man Small South Crabtree
Where Telstar and Maranacook can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #2 to #4 · Loss: #3 to #5
With a win: best is #2 est. 90% chance
Has to happen OOB beats Boothbay.
Even with a loss: best is #3 est. 48% chance
Has to happen Traip beats Sacopee Valley; Cape Elizabeth beats Waterville; OOB beats Boothbay.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #2 to #4
With a win: best is #1 est. 7% chance
Has to happen Boothbay beats OOB.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. 1% chance
Has to happen Sacopee Valley beats Traip; Orono beats Spruce Mountain; Waterville beats Cape Elizabeth; OOB beats Boothbay; Dexter beats Mount View.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 8 other games this weekend: Sacopee Valley at Traip, Washington Academy at Stearns, Spruce Mountain at Orono, Old Town at Houlton, Cape Elizabeth at Waterville, OOB at Boothbay, Dexter at Mount View, Lake Region at Gray-NG. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Traip: Telstar won by 60, Maranacook won by 46
- Maranacook has won 3 straight
Maranacook this season
| Sat 9/5 | at Traip | W 60–14 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Sacopee Valley | W 47–20 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Dexter | W 54–16 |
| Sat 9/26 | at Valley (Fort Kent) | |
| Sat 10/3 | at Telstar | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Boothbay | |
| Sat 10/17 | at OOB | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Spruce Mountain |
Telstar this season
| Sat 9/5 | vs. Spruce Mountain | L 18–30 |
| Sat 9/12 | vs. Traip | W 60–0 |
| Fri 9/18 | at OOB | L 8–36 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Cape Elizabeth | L 36–40 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Maranacook | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Sacopee Valley | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Boothbay | |
| Sat 10/24 | at MDI |
Recent meetings
| 2023 | Maranacook 52, Telstar 28 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Maranacook and Telstar play?
Maranacook plays at Telstar on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM, at Telstar.
Who has the better chance, Maranacook or Telstar?
It is close to even: our power rating gives Telstar an est. 51% chance to win, a projected margin of est. 0 points.
What is Maranacook's record and Crabtree place?
Maranacook is 3–0 and #2 of 7 in 8-Man Small South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Telstar's record and Crabtree place?
Telstar is 1–3 and #3 of 7 in 8-Man Small South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Telstar's playoff seeding?
With a win, Telstar finishes the week between #2 to #4 in 8-Man Small South; with a loss, between #3 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
Can Telstar still be #3 in 8-Man Small South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Telstar can finish the week #3 if Traip beats Sacopee Valley, Cape Elizabeth beats Waterville and OOB beats Boothbay. Our rating puts that at est. 48%.
What does this game mean for Maranacook's playoff seeding?
With a win, Maranacook finishes the week between #1 to #3 in 8-Man Small South; with a loss, between #2 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
Can Maranacook still be #2 in 8-Man Small South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Maranacook can finish the week #2 if Sacopee Valley beats Traip, Orono beats Spruce Mountain, Waterville beats Cape Elizabeth, OOB beats Boothbay and Dexter beats Mount View. Our rating puts that at est. 1%.
Who won the last meeting between Maranacook and Telstar?
Maranacook won the last meeting in our records, 52–28 in 2023.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.