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Hampden at Nokomis
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 1:00 PM · Nokomis Regional High
Hampden team page Nokomis team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Nokomis, est. 94%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class C Crabtree
Where Nokomis and Hampden can land
Places #1 to #12 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #7 to #9 · Loss: #8 to #11
With a win: best is #7 est. 11% chance
Has to happen Brewer beats York; Mountain Valley beats Belfast; Hermon beats Oceanside.
Likeliest way also has Gardiner beats Wells; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Even with a loss: best is #8 est. 33% chance
Has to happen Brewer beats York; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Win: #8 to #11 · Loss: #10 to #12
With a win: best is #8 est. 1% chance
Has to happen Brewer beats York; Oceanside beats Hermon; MCI beats Madison.
Likeliest way also has Wells beats Gardiner; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Even with a loss: best is #10 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen York beats Brewer; Gardiner beats Wells; Oceanside beats Hermon; MCI beats Madison; Dirigo beats Leavitt; Skowhegan beats Camden Hills; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 10 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Hermon at Oceanside, MCI at Madison, John Bapst at Foxcroft and 4 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Hermon: Nokomis lost by 22, Hampden lost by 56
- Nokomis won the last 3 meetings
Hampden this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Oceanside | L 12–50 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Brewer | L 26–40 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Hermon | L 0–56 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. MCI | L 13–28 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Nokomis | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Medomak Valley | |
| Sat 10/17 | at Foxcroft | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. York | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Wells |
Nokomis this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Gardiner | L 6–37 |
| Sat 9/12 | vs. Hermon | L 6–28 |
| Sat 9/19 | vs. Brewer | W 42–8 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Greely | L 7–35 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Hampden | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | vs. Foxcroft | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Leavitt | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Wells | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Oceanside |
Recent meetings
| 2024 | Hampden 15, Nokomis 20 |
| 2023 | Nokomis 14, Hampden 13 |
| 2023 | Hampden 18, Nokomis 26 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Hampden and Nokomis play?
Hampden plays at Nokomis on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM, at Nokomis Regional High.
Who has the better chance, Hampden or Nokomis?
Nokomis. Our power rating gives Nokomis an est. 88% chance to win, by est. 20 points.
What is Hampden's record and Crabtree place?
Hampden is 0–4 and #10 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Nokomis's record and Crabtree place?
Nokomis is 1–3 and #8 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Nokomis's playoff seeding?
With a win, Nokomis finishes the week between #7 to #9 in Class C; with a loss, between #8 to #11, depending on the week's other results.
Can Nokomis still be #8 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Nokomis can finish the week #8 if Brewer beats York and Greely beats Medomak Valley. Our rating puts that at est. 33%.
What does this game mean for Hampden's playoff seeding?
With a win, Hampden finishes the week between #8 to #11 in Class C; with a loss, between #10 to #12, depending on the week's other results.
Can Hampden still be #10 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Hampden can finish the week #10 if York beats Brewer, Gardiner beats Wells, Oceanside beats Hermon, MCI beats Madison, Dirigo beats Leavitt, Skowhegan beats Camden Hills and Greely beats Medomak Valley. Our rating puts that at est. under 1%.
Who won the last meeting between Hampden and Nokomis?
Nokomis won the last meeting in our records, 20–15 in 2024.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.