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York at Brewer
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM · Historic Doyle Field
York team page Brewer team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: York, est. 65%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class C Crabtree
Where Brewer and York can land
Places #1 to #12 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #9 to #12 · Loss: #11 to #12
With a win: best is #9 est. 13% chance
Has to happen Nokomis beats Hampden; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Likeliest way also has Gardiner beats Wells; Belfast beats Mountain Valley; Hermon beats Oceanside.
Even with a loss: best is #11 est. 9% chance
Has to happen Gardiner beats Wells; Belfast beats Mountain Valley; Madison beats MCI; Nokomis beats Hampden.
Win: #8 to #10 · Loss: #9 to #12
With a win: best is #8 est. 10% chance
Has to happen Hampden beats Nokomis.
Likeliest way also has Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Even with a loss: best is #9 est. 21% chance
Has to happen Nokomis beats Hampden; Greely beats Medomak Valley.
Likeliest way also has Gardiner beats Wells; Mountain Valley beats Belfast; Leavitt beats Dirigo; Skowhegan beats Camden Hills.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 10 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Hermon at Oceanside, MCI at Madison, John Bapst at Foxcroft and 4 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Gardiner: Brewer lost by 22, York lost by 28
- York has lost 4 straight
York this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Greely | L 0–48 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Gardiner | L 0–28 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Leavitt | L 0–51 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Oceanside | L 12–14 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Brewer | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Oak Hill | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Wells | |
| Sat 10/24 | at Hampden | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Hermon |
Brewer this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Belfast | L 26–28 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Hampden | W 40–26 |
| Sat 9/19 | at Nokomis | L 8–42 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Gardiner | L 20–42 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. York | this game |
| Thu 10/8 | at Hermon | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Oceanside | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Foxcroft | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Medomak Valley |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Brewer 0, York 10 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do York and Brewer play?
York plays at Brewer on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM, at Historic Doyle Field.
Who has the better chance, York or Brewer?
York. Our power rating gives York an est. 62% chance to win, by est. 5 points.
What is York's record and Crabtree place?
York is 0–4 and #9 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Brewer's record and Crabtree place?
Brewer is 1–3 and #12 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Brewer's playoff seeding?
With a win, Brewer finishes the week between #9 to #12 in Class C; with a loss, between #11 to #12, depending on the week's other results.
Can Brewer still be #11 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Brewer can finish the week #11 if Gardiner beats Wells, Belfast beats Mountain Valley, Madison beats MCI and Nokomis beats Hampden. Our rating puts that at est. 9%.
What does this game mean for York's playoff seeding?
With a win, York finishes the week between #8 to #10 in Class C; with a loss, between #9 to #12, depending on the week's other results.
Can York still be #9 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, York can finish the week #9 if Nokomis beats Hampden, Greely beats Medomak Valley, Gardiner beats Wells, Mountain Valley beats Belfast, Leavitt beats Dirigo and Skowhegan beats Camden Hills. Our rating puts that at est. 21%.
Who won the last meeting between York and Brewer?
York won the last meeting in our records, 10–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.