More
Winslow at Mattanawcook
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Mattanawcook Academy
Winslow team page Mattanawcook team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Winslow, est. 94%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class D North Crabtree
Where Mattanawcook and Winslow can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #4 · Loss: #3 to #6
With a win: best is #1 est. 15% chance
Has to happen Gardiner beats Wells; MCI beats Madison; Foxcroft beats John Bapst; Winthrop beats Oak Hill.
Likeliest way also has Freeport beats Morse; Nokomis beats Hampden.
Even with a loss: best is #3 est. 28% chance
Has to happen Freeport beats Morse; MCI beats Madison; Foxcroft beats John Bapst; Winthrop beats Oak Hill.
Win: #1 · Loss: #1 to #3
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 25% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Freeport beats Morse; Wells beats Gardiner; MCI beats Madison; Nokomis beats Hampden.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 11 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Morse at Freeport, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Lisbon at Poland, Hermon at Oceanside, MCI at Madison and 5 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Freeport: Mattanawcook lost by 36, Winslow won by 8
- Winslow has won 3 straight
Winslow this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Wells | L 13–14 |
| Fri 9/11 | at John Bapst | W 26–6 |
| Sat 9/19 | vs. Oak Hill | W 46–6 |
| Sat 9/26 | vs. Freeport | W 14–6 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Mattanawcook | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at MCI | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Morse | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Madison |
Mattanawcook this season
| Sat 9/5 | at Freeport | L 6–42 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Mountain Valley | W 14–6 |
| Fri 9/18 | at MCI | L 25–27 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Belfast | W 41–20 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Winslow | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Lisbon | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. John Bapst | |
| Sat 10/24 | at Oak Hill |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Winslow 38, Mattanawcook 0 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Winslow and Mattanawcook play?
Winslow plays at Mattanawcook on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Mattanawcook Academy.
Who has the better chance, Winslow or Mattanawcook?
Winslow. Our power rating gives Winslow an est. 88% chance to win, by est. 20 points.
What is Winslow's record and Crabtree place?
Winslow is 3–1 and #1 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Mattanawcook's record and Crabtree place?
Mattanawcook is 2–2 and #5 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Mattanawcook's playoff seeding?
With a win, Mattanawcook finishes the week between #1 to #4 in Class D North; with a loss, between #3 to #6, depending on the week's other results.
Can Mattanawcook still be #3 in Class D North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Mattanawcook can finish the week #3 if Freeport beats Morse, MCI beats Madison, Foxcroft beats John Bapst and Winthrop beats Oak Hill. Our rating puts that at est. 28%.
What does this game mean for Winslow's playoff seeding?
With a win, Winslow finishes the week between #1 in Class D North; with a loss, between #1 to #3, depending on the week's other results.
Can Winslow still be #1 in Class D North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Winslow can finish the week #1 if Freeport beats Morse, Wells beats Gardiner, MCI beats Madison and Nokomis beats Hampden. Our rating puts that at est. 25%.
Who won the last meeting between Winslow and Mattanawcook?
Winslow won the last meeting in our records, 38–0 in 2025.
Download image for posting (1080 × 1350, for Facebook or Instagram)
Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.