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Washington Academy at Stearns
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Arthur D. Greenlaw Alumni Field
Washington Academy team page Stearns team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Stearns, est. 89%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · 8-Man Small North Crabtree
Where Stearns and Washington Academy can land
Places #1 to #5 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 · Loss: #1 to #3
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 5% chance
Has to happen Sacopee Valley beats Traip; Orono beats Spruce Mountain; Lake Region beats Gray-NG.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #2 to #4
With a win: best is #1 est. 95% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. 52% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Spruce Mountain beats Orono.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 9 other games this weekend, including Sacopee Valley at Traip, Mt. Ararat at Ellsworth, Spruce Mountain at Orono, Old Town at Houlton, OOB at Boothbay, Maranacook at Telstar and 3 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Dexter: Stearns won by 34, Washington Academy won by 48
- Stearns has won 4 straight
Washington Academy this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Houlton | W 36–14 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Dexter | W 62–14 |
| Sat 9/19 | at Traip | W 66–6 |
| Sat 9/26 | vs. Gray-NG | L 26–37 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Stearns | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Fort Kent | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Bucksport | |
| Sat 10/24 | at Waterville |
Stearns this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Dexter | W 42–8 |
| Sat 9/12 | at Houlton | W 56–0 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Orono | W 40–20 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Lake Region | W 32–28 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Washington Academy | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Bucksport | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Ellsworth | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Sacopee Valley |
Recent meetings
| 2024 | Stearns 52, Washington Academy 16 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Washington Academy and Stearns play?
Washington Academy plays at Stearns on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Arthur D. Greenlaw Alumni Field.
Who has the better chance, Washington Academy or Stearns?
Stearns. Our power rating gives Stearns an est. 83% chance to win, by est. 16 points.
What is Washington Academy's record and Crabtree place?
Washington Academy is 3–1 and #4 of 5 in 8-Man Small North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Stearns's record and Crabtree place?
Stearns is 4–0 and #1 of 5 in 8-Man Small North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Stearns's playoff seeding?
With a win, Stearns finishes the week between #1 in 8-Man Small North; with a loss, between #1 to #3, depending on the week's other results.
Can Stearns still be #1 in 8-Man Small North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Stearns can finish the week #1 if Sacopee Valley beats Traip, Orono beats Spruce Mountain and Lake Region beats Gray-NG. Our rating puts that at est. 5%.
What does this game mean for Washington Academy's playoff seeding?
With a win, Washington Academy finishes the week between #1 to #3 in 8-Man Small North; with a loss, between #2 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
Can Washington Academy still be #2 in 8-Man Small North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Washington Academy can finish the week #2 if Spruce Mountain beats Orono. Our rating puts that at est. 52%.
Who won the last meeting between Washington Academy and Stearns?
Stearns won the last meeting in our records, 52–16 in 2024.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.