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Scarborough at Edward Little
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Edward Little High School
Scarborough team page Edward Little team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Edward Little, est. 66%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class A North Crabtree
Where Edward Little and Scarborough can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #4 to #5 · Loss: #4 to #7
With a win: best is #4 est. over 99% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Even with a loss: best is #4 est. 7% chance
Has to happen Bonny Eagle beats Windham; Oxford Hills beats Lewiston; Noble beats Massabesic; Portland beats Thornton.
Win: #5 to #6 · Loss: #6 to #7
With a win: best is #5 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Sanford beats South Portland; Gorham beats Cheverus; Portland beats Thornton.
Even with a loss: best is #6 est. 89% chance
Has to happen South Portland beats Sanford.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 10 other games this weekend, including Bonny Eagle at Windham, South Portland at Sanford, Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Noble at Massabesic, Fryeburg at Messalonskee, Marshwood at Falmouth and 4 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Portland: Edward Little lost by 28, Scarborough lost by 25
- Scarborough has lost 4 straight
Scarborough this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Thornton | L 0–56 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Portland | L 0–25 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. South Portland | L 13–20 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Bonny Eagle | L 6–42 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Edward Little | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | vs. Sanford | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Gorham | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Massabesic | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Noble |
Edward Little this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Deering | W 46–14 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Salem (NH) | |
| Fri 9/18 | at Oxford Hills | L 7–28 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Portland | L 7–35 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Scarborough | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Windham | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Bangor | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Mt. Blue | |
| Sat 10/31 | vs. Lewiston |
Recent meetings
| 2024 | Scarborough 28, Edward Little 7 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Scarborough and Edward Little play?
Scarborough plays at Edward Little on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Edward Little High School.
Who has the better chance, Scarborough or Edward Little?
Edward Little. Our power rating gives Edward Little an est. 62% chance to win, by est. 5 points.
What is Scarborough's record and Crabtree place?
Scarborough is 0–4 and #6 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Edward Little's record and Crabtree place?
Edward Little is 1–2 and #4 of 7 in Class A North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Edward Little's playoff seeding?
With a win, Edward Little finishes the week between #4 to #5 in Class A North; with a loss, between #4 to #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Edward Little still be #4 in Class A North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Edward Little can finish the week #4 if Bonny Eagle beats Windham, Oxford Hills beats Lewiston, Noble beats Massabesic and Portland beats Thornton. Our rating puts that at est. 7%.
What does this game mean for Scarborough's playoff seeding?
With a win, Scarborough finishes the week between #5 to #6 in Class A North; with a loss, between #6 to #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Scarborough still be #6 in Class A North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Scarborough can finish the week #6 if South Portland beats Sanford. Our rating puts that at est. 89%.
Who won the last meeting between Scarborough and Edward Little?
Scarborough won the last meeting in our records, 28–7 in 2024.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.