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OOB at Boothbay
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · TBA
OOB team page Boothbay team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: OOB, est. 96%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · 8-Man Small South Crabtree
Where Boothbay and OOB can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #2 to #4
With a win: best is #1 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Sacopee Valley beats Traip; Waterville beats Cape Elizabeth.
Likeliest way also has Spruce Mountain beats Orono; Maranacook beats Telstar; Mount View beats Dexter.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Sacopee Valley beats Traip; Orono beats Spruce Mountain; Waterville beats Cape Elizabeth; Telstar beats Maranacook; Mount View beats Dexter.
Win: #1 · Loss: #1 to #3
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 60% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Telstar beats Maranacook.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 8 other games this weekend: Sacopee Valley at Traip, Washington Academy at Stearns, Spruce Mountain at Orono, Old Town at Houlton, Cape Elizabeth at Waterville, Maranacook at Telstar, Dexter at Mount View, Lake Region at Gray-NG. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Sacopee Valley: Boothbay won by 18, OOB won by 48
- OOB won the last 3 meetings
OOB this season
| Sat 9/5 | at Sacopee Valley | W 48–0 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Orono | W 30–22 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Telstar | W 36–8 |
| Thu 9/24 | at Old Town | W 22–12 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Boothbay | this game |
| Thu 10/8 | vs. Traip | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Maranacook | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Mt. Ararat |
Boothbay this season
| Sat 9/5 | vs. Fort Kent | |
| Fri 9/11 | at Bucksport | L 0–26 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Waterville | W 30–8 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Sacopee Valley | W 32–14 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. OOB | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Maranacook | |
| Sat 10/17 | at Telstar | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Mount View |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | OOB 60, Boothbay 0 |
| 2024 | OOB 80, Boothbay 16 |
| 2023 | OOB 68, Boothbay 0 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do OOB and Boothbay play?
OOB plays at Boothbay on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at TBA.
Who has the better chance, OOB or Boothbay?
OOB. Our power rating gives OOB an est. 91% chance to win, by est. 23 points.
What is OOB's record and Crabtree place?
OOB is 4–0 and #1 of 7 in 8-Man Small South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Boothbay's record and Crabtree place?
Boothbay is 2–1 and #4 of 7 in 8-Man Small South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Boothbay's playoff seeding?
With a win, Boothbay finishes the week between #1 to #3 in 8-Man Small South; with a loss, between #2 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
Can Boothbay still be #2 in 8-Man Small South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Boothbay can finish the week #2 if Sacopee Valley beats Traip, Orono beats Spruce Mountain, Waterville beats Cape Elizabeth, Telstar beats Maranacook and Mount View beats Dexter. Our rating puts that at est. under 1%.
What does this game mean for OOB's playoff seeding?
With a win, OOB finishes the week between #1 in 8-Man Small South; with a loss, between #1 to #3, depending on the week's other results.
Can OOB still be #1 in 8-Man Small South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, OOB can finish the week #1 if Telstar beats Maranacook. Our rating puts that at est. 60%.
Who won the last meeting between OOB and Boothbay?
OOB won the last meeting in our records, 60–0 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.