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Noble at Massabesic
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Massabesic High School Stadium
Noble team page Massabesic team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Massabesic, est. 71%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class A South Crabtree
Where Massabesic and Noble can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #3 to #4
With a win: best is #1 est. 2% chance
Has to happen Windham beats Bonny Eagle; Portland beats Thornton.
Likeliest way also has Kennebunk beats Deering; Edward Little beats Scarborough.
Even with a loss: best is #3 est. 1% chance
Has to happen Bonny Eagle beats Windham; Biddeford beats Westbrook; Kennebunk beats Deering; Sanford beats South Portland; Edward Little beats Scarborough; Portland beats Thornton.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #4 to #5
With a win: best is #1 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Windham beats Bonny Eagle; Biddeford beats Westbrook; Marshwood beats Falmouth; Sanford beats South Portland; Edward Little beats Scarborough; Portland beats Thornton.
Even with a loss: best is #4 est. 49% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Marshwood beats Falmouth; Edward Little beats Scarborough.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 8 other games this weekend: Bonny Eagle at Windham, South Portland at Sanford, Scarborough at Edward Little, Marshwood at Falmouth, Westbrook at Biddeford, Deering at Kennebunk, Portland at Thornton, Gorham at Cheverus. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Sanford: Massabesic won by 22, Noble won by 40
- Noble won the last 2 meetings
Noble this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Dover (NH) | W 30–22 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Bonny Eagle | L 19–41 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Sanford | W 48–8 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Marshwood | L 51–52 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Massabesic | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Thornton | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. South Portland | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Oxford Hills | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Scarborough |
Massabesic this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Bangor | W 22–18 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Kennebunk | W 26–0 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Bonny Eagle | L 14–27 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Sanford | W 28–6 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Noble | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at South Portland | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Lewiston | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Scarborough | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Thornton |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Noble 17, Massabesic 14 |
| 2023 | Noble 29, Massabesic 23 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Noble and Massabesic play?
Noble plays at Massabesic on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Massabesic High School Stadium.
Who has the better chance, Noble or Massabesic?
Massabesic. Our power rating gives Massabesic an est. 67% chance to win, by est. 7 points.
What is Noble's record and Crabtree place?
Noble is 2–2 and #4 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Massabesic's record and Crabtree place?
Massabesic is 3–1 and #2 of 7 in Class A South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Massabesic's playoff seeding?
With a win, Massabesic finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class A South; with a loss, between #3 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
What does this game mean for Noble's playoff seeding?
With a win, Noble finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class A South; with a loss, between #4 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
Can Noble still be #4 in Class A South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Noble can finish the week #4 if Marshwood beats Falmouth and Edward Little beats Scarborough. Our rating puts that at est. 49%.
Who won the last meeting between Noble and Massabesic?
Noble won the last meeting in our records, 17–14 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.