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MCI at Madison
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Madison High School - 486 Main St
MCI team page Madison team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Madison, est. 60%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class D North Crabtree
Where Madison and MCI can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #3 to #6
With a win: best is #1 est. 10% chance
Has to happen Mattanawcook beats Winslow.
Likeliest way also has Winthrop beats Oak Hill.
Even with a loss: best is #3 est. 15% chance
Has to happen Morse beats Freeport; Winslow beats Mattanawcook; Foxcroft beats John Bapst; Winthrop beats Oak Hill.
Win: #1 to #4 · Loss: #4 to #6
With a win: best is #1 est. 2% chance
Has to happen Mattanawcook beats Winslow.
Likeliest way also has Morse beats Freeport; Poland beats Lisbon.
Even with a loss: best is #4 est. 24% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Morse beats Freeport; Poland beats Lisbon.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 11 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Morse at Freeport, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Lisbon at Poland, Hermon at Oceanside and 5 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Madison won 2 of the last 3 meetings
MCI this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Oak Hill | W 42–8 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Poland | L 14–34 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Mattanawcook | W 27–25 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Hampden | W 28–13 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Madison | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Winslow | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Belfast | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Dirigo |
Madison this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. John Bapst | W 46–40 |
| Thu 9/17 | at Winthrop | L 8–38 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Foxcroft | L 7–41 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. MCI | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Belfast | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Poland | |
| Sat 10/24 | at Winslow |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | MCI 6, Madison 46 |
| 2025 | Madison 60, MCI 22 |
| 2024 | MCI 13, Madison 12 |
| 2023 | MCI 28, Madison 12 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do MCI and Madison play?
MCI plays at Madison on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Madison High School - 486 Main St.
Who has the better chance, MCI or Madison?
Madison. Our power rating gives Madison an est. 58% chance to win, by est. 3 points.
What is MCI's record and Crabtree place?
MCI is 3–1 and #2 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Madison's record and Crabtree place?
Madison is 1–2 and #3 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Madison's playoff seeding?
With a win, Madison finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class D North; with a loss, between #3 to #6, depending on the week's other results.
Can Madison still be #3 in Class D North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Madison can finish the week #3 if Morse beats Freeport, Winslow beats Mattanawcook, Foxcroft beats John Bapst and Winthrop beats Oak Hill. Our rating puts that at est. 15%.
What does this game mean for MCI's playoff seeding?
With a win, MCI finishes the week between #1 to #4 in Class D North; with a loss, between #4 to #6, depending on the week's other results.
Who won the last meeting between MCI and Madison?
Madison won the last meeting in our records, 46–6 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.