More
John Bapst at Foxcroft
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Foxcroft Academy
John Bapst team page Foxcroft team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Foxcroft, est. 94%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class C Crabtree
Where Foxcroft and John Bapst can land
Places #1 to #12 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #1 to #5
With a win: best is #1 est. 87% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Even with a loss: best is #1 est. 1% chance
Has to happen Oceanside beats Hermon; Dirigo beats Leavitt.
Win: #1 to #4 · Loss: #3 to #5
With a win: best is #1 est. 0% chance
Has to happen Morse beats Freeport; Gardiner beats Wells; Mattanawcook beats Winslow; Madison beats MCI; Dirigo beats Leavitt; Oak Hill beats Winthrop.
Even with a loss: best is #3 est. 51% chance
Has to happen Winslow beats Mattanawcook.
Likeliest way also has Madison beats MCI.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 13 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Morse at Freeport, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Lisbon at Poland, Hermon at Oceanside and 7 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Madison: Foxcroft won by 34, John Bapst lost by 6
- Foxcroft won the last 3 meetings
John Bapst this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Madison | L 40–46 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Winslow | L 6–26 |
| Thu 9/17 | vs. Dirigo | W 18–6 |
| Sat 9/26 | at Oak Hill | W 26–12 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Foxcroft | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | vs. Mountain Valley | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Mattanawcook | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Winthrop |
Foxcroft this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Hermon | L 0–24 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Oceanside | W 28–12 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Gardiner | W 28–0 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Madison | W 41–7 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. John Bapst | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | at Nokomis | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Hampden | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Brewer | |
| Fri 10/30 | at Leavitt |
Recent meetings
| 2024 | Foxcroft 42, John Bapst 20 |
| 2023 | John Bapst 8, Foxcroft 29 |
| 2023 | John Bapst 6, Foxcroft 54 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do John Bapst and Foxcroft play?
John Bapst plays at Foxcroft on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Foxcroft Academy.
Who has the better chance, John Bapst or Foxcroft?
Foxcroft. Our power rating gives Foxcroft an est. 89% chance to win, by est. 21 points.
What is John Bapst's record and Crabtree place?
John Bapst is 2–2 and #4 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Foxcroft's record and Crabtree place?
Foxcroft is 3–1 and #1 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Foxcroft's playoff seeding?
With a win, Foxcroft finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class C; with a loss, between #1 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
Can Foxcroft still be #1 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Foxcroft can finish the week #1 if Oceanside beats Hermon and Dirigo beats Leavitt. Our rating puts that at est. 1%.
What does this game mean for John Bapst's playoff seeding?
With a win, John Bapst finishes the week between #1 to #4 in Class C; with a loss, between #3 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
Can John Bapst still be #3 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, John Bapst can finish the week #3 if Winslow beats Mattanawcook and Madison beats MCI. Our rating puts that at est. 51%.
Who won the last meeting between John Bapst and Foxcroft?
Foxcroft won the last meeting in our records, 42–20 in 2024.
Download image for posting (1080 × 1350, for Facebook or Instagram)
Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.