More
Hermon at Oceanside
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Oceanside High School
Hermon team page Oceanside team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Hermon, est. 91%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class C Crabtree
Where Oceanside and Hermon can land
Places #1 to #12 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #6 · Loss: #5 to #8
With a win: best is #1 est. 0% chance
Has to happen York beats Brewer; Wells beats Gardiner; Belfast beats Mountain Valley; MCI beats Madison; John Bapst beats Foxcroft; Dirigo beats Leavitt; Hampden beats Nokomis.
Even with a loss: best is #5 est. 1% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Wells beats Gardiner; Foxcroft beats John Bapst; Hampden beats Nokomis; Medomak Valley beats Greely.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #2 to #6
With a win: best is #1 est. 4% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Brewer beats York; Gardiner beats Wells; John Bapst beats Foxcroft; Nokomis beats Hampden.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Dirigo beats Leavitt; Medomak Valley beats Greely.
Likeliest way also has Gardiner beats Wells; Mountain Valley beats Belfast; Foxcroft beats John Bapst; Nokomis beats Hampden.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 10 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, MCI at Madison, John Bapst at Foxcroft, York at Brewer and 4 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Hampden: Oceanside won by 38, Hermon won by 56
- Hermon won 2 of the last 3 meetings
Hermon this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Foxcroft | W 24–0 |
| Sat 9/12 | at Nokomis | W 28–6 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Hampden | W 56–0 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Medomak Valley | W 51–6 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Oceanside | this game |
| Thu 10/8 | vs. Brewer | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Greely | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Leavitt | |
| Fri 10/30 | at York |
Oceanside this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Hampden | W 50–12 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Foxcroft | L 12–28 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Belfast | W 44–6 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. York | W 14–12 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Hermon | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Greely | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Brewer | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Medomak Valley | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Nokomis |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Hermon 36, Oceanside 8 |
| 2024 | Oceanside 6, Hermon 31 |
| 2023 | Oceanside 38, Hermon 24 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Hermon and Oceanside play?
Hermon plays at Oceanside on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Oceanside High School.
Who has the better chance, Hermon or Oceanside?
Hermon. Our power rating gives Hermon an est. 85% chance to win, by est. 17 points.
What is Hermon's record and Crabtree place?
Hermon is 4–0 and #3 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Oceanside's record and Crabtree place?
Oceanside is 3–1 and #7 of 12 in Class C in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Oceanside's playoff seeding?
With a win, Oceanside finishes the week between #1 to #6 in Class C; with a loss, between #5 to #8, depending on the week's other results.
Can Oceanside still be #5 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Oceanside can finish the week #5 if Wells beats Gardiner, Foxcroft beats John Bapst, Hampden beats Nokomis and Medomak Valley beats Greely. Our rating puts that at est. 1%.
What does this game mean for Hermon's playoff seeding?
With a win, Hermon finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class C; with a loss, between #2 to #6, depending on the week's other results.
Can Hermon still be #2 in Class C if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Hermon can finish the week #2 if Dirigo beats Leavitt, Medomak Valley beats Greely, Gardiner beats Wells, Mountain Valley beats Belfast, Foxcroft beats John Bapst and Nokomis beats Hampden. Our rating puts that at est. under 1%.
Who won the last meeting between Hermon and Oceanside?
Hermon won the last meeting in our records, 36–8 in 2025.
Download image for posting (1080 × 1350, for Facebook or Instagram)
Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.