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Deering at Kennebunk
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM · Kennebunk HS - Memorial Fied
Deering team page Kennebunk team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Kennebunk, est. 91%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class B South Crabtree
Where Kennebunk and Deering can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 to #3 · Loss: #2 to #5
With a win: best is #1 est. 3% chance
Has to happen Falmouth beats Marshwood; Massabesic beats Noble; Gorham beats Cheverus.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. under 1% chance
Has to happen Freeport beats Morse; Westbrook beats Biddeford; Marshwood beats Falmouth; Massabesic beats Noble; Mt. Blue beats Brunswick; Gorham beats Cheverus; Portland beats Thornton.
Win: #4 to #6 · Loss: #6 to #7
With a win: best is #4 est. 8% chance
Has to happen Bonny Eagle beats Windham; Scarborough beats Edward Little; Oxford Hills beats Lewiston; Noble beats Massabesic; Thornton beats Portland.
Even with a loss: best is #6 est. 98% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 13 other games this weekend, including Bonny Eagle at Windham, South Portland at Sanford, Scarborough at Edward Little, Morse at Freeport, Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Noble at Massabesic and 7 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Kennebunk won the last 3 meetings
Deering this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Edward Little | L 14–46 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Oxford Hills | L 0–42 |
| Sat 9/19 | vs. Bangor | L 13–32 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Lewiston | W 26–6 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Kennebunk | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Westbrook | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Cheverus | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Portland | |
| Fri 10/30 | vs. Windham |
Kennebunk this season
| Thu 9/3 | vs. Falmouth | W 33–28 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Massabesic | L 0–26 |
| Sat 9/19 | at Cheverus | W 21–17 |
| Sat 9/26 | vs. Gorham | W 43–0 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Deering | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at Fryeburg | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Westbrook | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Marshwood |
Recent meetings
| 2024 | Kennebunk 35, Deering 14 |
| 2024 | Deering 0, Kennebunk 41 |
| 2023 | Deering 6, Kennebunk 28 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Deering and Kennebunk play?
Deering plays at Kennebunk on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 6:00 PM, at Kennebunk HS - Memorial Fied.
Who has the better chance, Deering or Kennebunk?
Kennebunk. Our power rating gives Kennebunk an est. 85% chance to win, by est. 18 points.
What is Deering's record and Crabtree place?
Deering is 1–3 and #6 of 7 in Class A North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Kennebunk's record and Crabtree place?
Kennebunk is 3–1 and #3 of 7 in Class B South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Kennebunk's playoff seeding?
With a win, Kennebunk finishes the week between #1 to #3 in Class B South; with a loss, between #2 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
Can Kennebunk still be #2 in Class B South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Kennebunk can finish the week #2 if Freeport beats Morse, Westbrook beats Biddeford, Marshwood beats Falmouth, Massabesic beats Noble, Mt. Blue beats Brunswick, Gorham beats Cheverus and Portland beats Thornton. Our rating puts that at est. under 1%.
What does this game mean for Deering's playoff seeding?
With a win, Deering finishes the week between #4 to #6 in Class B South; with a loss, between #6 to #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Deering still be #6 in Class B South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Deering can finish the week #6. Our rating puts that at est. 98%.
Who won the last meeting between Deering and Kennebunk?
Kennebunk won the last meeting in our records, 35–14 in 2024.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.