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Belfast at Mountain Valley
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Hosmer Field Complex
Belfast team page Mountain Valley team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Mountain Valley, est. 72%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class D South Crabtree
Where Mountain Valley and Belfast can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #7 · Loss: #7
With a win: best is #7
#7 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #7
#7 no matter what else happens this week.
Win: #6 to #7 · Loss: #7
With a win: best is #6 est. 2% chance
Has to happen Brewer beats York; Mattanawcook beats Winslow; Winthrop beats Oak Hill.
Likeliest way also has Madison beats MCI; Foxcroft beats John Bapst.
Even with a loss: best is #7
#7 no matter what else happens this week.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 12 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Morse at Freeport, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Lisbon at Poland, Hermon at Oceanside, MCI at Madison and 6 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Mattanawcook: Mountain Valley lost by 8, Belfast lost by 21
- Mountain Valley has lost 4 straight
Belfast this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Brewer | W 28–26 |
| Sat 9/12 | at Oak Hill | L 36–49 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Oceanside | L 6–44 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Mattanawcook | L 20–41 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Mountain Valley | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Madison | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. MCI | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Morse |
Mountain Valley this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Morse | L 8–16 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Mattanawcook | L 6–14 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Lisbon | L 6–34 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Dirigo | L 6–24 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Belfast | this game |
| Sat 10/10 | at John Bapst | |
| Thu 10/15 | vs. Winthrop | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Poland |
Quick answers
When and where do Belfast and Mountain Valley play?
Belfast plays at Mountain Valley on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Hosmer Field Complex.
Who has the better chance, Belfast or Mountain Valley?
Mountain Valley. Our power rating gives Mountain Valley an est. 67% chance to win, by est. 7 points.
What is Belfast's record and Crabtree place?
Belfast is 1–3 and #7 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Mountain Valley's record and Crabtree place?
Mountain Valley is 0–4 and #7 of 7 in Class D South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Mountain Valley's playoff seeding?
With a win, Mountain Valley finishes the week between #7 in Class D South; with a loss, between #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Mountain Valley still be #7 in Class D South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Mountain Valley can finish the week #7. Our rating puts that at est. 100%.
What does this game mean for Belfast's playoff seeding?
With a win, Belfast finishes the week between #6 to #7 in Class D South; with a loss, between #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Belfast still be #7 in Class D South if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Belfast can finish the week #7. Our rating puts that at est. 100%.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.