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Winthrop at Oak Hill
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 1:00 PM · Oak Hill High School
Winthrop team page Oak Hill team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Winthrop, est. 97%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class D North Crabtree
Where Oak Hill and Winthrop can land
Places #1 to #7 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #3 to #6 · Loss: #6 to #7
With a win: best is #3 est. 32% chance
Has to happen Winslow beats Mattanawcook; MCI beats Madison; Foxcroft beats John Bapst.
Likeliest way also has Leavitt beats Dirigo.
Even with a loss: best is #6 est. 99% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Win: #2 to #4 · Loss: #2 to #4
With a win: best is #2 est. 80% chance
Has to happen no single other result; there is more than one way.
Likeliest way Freeport beats Morse.
Even with a loss: best is #2 est. 23% chance
Has to happen Freeport beats Morse.
Likeliest way also has Westbrook beats Biddeford; Poland beats Lisbon; Madison beats MCI; Leavitt beats Dirigo.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 12 other games this weekend, including Gardiner at Wells, Morse at Freeport, Winslow at Mattanawcook, Belfast at Mountain Valley, Lisbon at Poland, Hermon at Oceanside and 6 more. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Winthrop won 2 of the last 3 meetings
Winthrop this season
| Fri 9/4 | vs. Lisbon | W 34–3 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Freeport | L 28–29 |
| Thu 9/17 | vs. Madison | W 38–8 |
| Thu 9/24 | vs. Poland | W 34–6 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Oak Hill | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Dirigo | |
| Thu 10/15 | at Mountain Valley | |
| Sat 10/24 | at John Bapst |
Oak Hill this season
| Fri 9/4 | at MCI | L 8–42 |
| Sat 9/12 | vs. Belfast | W 49–36 |
| Sat 9/19 | at Winslow | L 6–46 |
| Sat 9/26 | vs. John Bapst | L 12–26 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Winthrop | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | at York | |
| Fri 10/16 | at Lisbon | |
| Sat 10/24 | vs. Mattanawcook |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Winthrop 28, Oak Hill 13 |
| 2025 | Oak Hill 12, Winthrop 28 |
| 2023 | Oak Hill 20, Winthrop 12 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Winthrop and Oak Hill play?
Winthrop plays at Oak Hill on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 1:00 PM, at Oak Hill High School.
Who has the better chance, Winthrop or Oak Hill?
Winthrop. Our power rating gives Winthrop an est. 93% chance to win, by est. 25 points.
What is Winthrop's record and Crabtree place?
Winthrop is 3–1 and #2 of 7 in Class D South in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Oak Hill's record and Crabtree place?
Oak Hill is 1–3 and #6 of 7 in Class D North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Oak Hill's playoff seeding?
With a win, Oak Hill finishes the week between #3 to #6 in Class D North; with a loss, between #6 to #7, depending on the week's other results.
Can Oak Hill still be #6 in Class D North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Oak Hill can finish the week #6. Our rating puts that at est. 99%.
What does this game mean for Winthrop's playoff seeding?
With a win, Winthrop finishes the week between #2 to #4 in Class D North; with a loss, between #2 to #4, depending on the week's other results.
Can Winthrop still be #2 in Class D North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Winthrop can finish the week #2 if Freeport beats Morse, Westbrook beats Biddeford, Poland beats Lisbon, Madison beats MCI and Leavitt beats Dirigo. Our rating puts that at est. 23%.
Who won the last meeting between Winthrop and Oak Hill?
Winthrop won the last meeting in our records, 28–13 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.