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Cony at Lawrence
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 · 7:00 PM · Pete Cooper Stadium-Lawrence High School
Cony team page Lawrence team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Lawrence, est. 72%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class B North Crabtree
Where Lawrence and Cony can land
Places #1 to #8 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #1 · Loss: #2
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #2
#2 no matter what else happens this week.
Win: #1 · Loss: #2
With a win: best is #1
#1 no matter what else happens this week.
Even with a loss: best is #2
#2 no matter what else happens this week.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 7 other games this weekend: Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Fryeburg at Messalonskee, Westbrook at Biddeford, Greely at Medomak Valley, Skowhegan at Camden Hills, Gorham at Cheverus, Mt. Blue at Brunswick. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Mt. Blue: Lawrence won by 43, Cony won by 14
- Cony won 2 of the last 3 meetings
Cony this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Fryeburg | W 25–21 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Skowhegan | W 42–35 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Mt. Blue | W 14–0 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Messalonskee | W 41–14 |
| Fri 10/2 | at Lawrence | this game |
| Thu 10/8 | vs. Camden Hills | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Brunswick | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Gardiner |
Lawrence this season
| Thu 9/3 | at Gorham | W 48–0 |
| Fri 9/11 | vs. Fryeburg | W 27–14 |
| Fri 9/18 | at Skowhegan | W 29–13 |
| Fri 9/25 | at Mt. Blue | W 49–6 |
| Fri 10/2 | vs. Cony | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Brunswick | |
| Sat 10/17 | at Camden Hills | |
| Fri 10/23 | vs. Messalonskee |
Recent meetings
| 2025 | Lawrence 14, Cony 46 |
| 2024 | Lawrence 21, Cony 42 |
| 2023 | Cony 7, Lawrence 27 |
| 2023 | Lawrence 40, Cony 7 |
From the past seasons in our records.
Quick answers
When and where do Cony and Lawrence play?
Cony plays at Lawrence on Fri, Oct 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at Pete Cooper Stadium-Lawrence High School.
Who has the better chance, Cony or Lawrence?
Lawrence. Our power rating gives Lawrence an est. 67% chance to win, by est. 7 points.
What is Cony's record and Crabtree place?
Cony is 4–0 and #1 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Lawrence's record and Crabtree place?
Lawrence is 4–0 and #2 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Lawrence's playoff seeding?
With a win, Lawrence finishes the week between #1 in Class B North; with a loss, between #2, depending on the week's other results.
Can Lawrence still be #2 in Class B North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Lawrence can finish the week #2. Our rating puts that at est. 100%.
What does this game mean for Cony's playoff seeding?
With a win, Cony finishes the week between #1 in Class B North; with a loss, between #2, depending on the week's other results.
Who won the last meeting between Cony and Lawrence?
Cony won the last meeting in our records, 46–14 in 2025.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.