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Skowhegan at Camden Hills
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 · 12:30 PM · Camden Hills Regional High School
Skowhegan team page Camden Hills team page What-if simulator
Frozen pick for the weekly picks: Skowhegan, est. 55%, written Oct 1. The numbers above use today's rating and can differ a little.
After this weekend · Class B North Crabtree
Where Camden Hills and Skowhegan can land
Places #1 to #8 after this week's games. Dark = possible with a win, light = possible with a loss. The outlined box is where they stand today.
Win: #6 to #8 · Loss: #8
With a win: best is #6 est. 3% chance
Has to happen Oxford Hills beats Lewiston; Fryeburg beats Messalonskee; Lawrence beats Cony; Mt. Blue beats Brunswick; Medomak Valley beats Greely.
Even with a loss: best is #8
#8 no matter what else happens this week.
Win: #3 to #4 · Loss: #4 to #5
With a win: best is #3 est. 19% chance
Has to happen Messalonskee beats Fryeburg.
Even with a loss: best is #4 est. 81% chance
Has to happen Fryeburg beats Messalonskee.
possible with a win possible with a loss place today
Depends on 7 other games this weekend: Oxford Hills at Lewiston, Fryeburg at Messalonskee, Westbrook at Biddeford, Cony at Lawrence, Greely at Medomak Valley, Gorham at Cheverus, Mt. Blue at Brunswick. Crabtree counts opponents' records, so those results move both teams.
How to read the best-case notes: "Has to happen" results are needed in every way to that place. "Likeliest way" is the most probable route by our rating; other routes can exist. Chances are estimates from our power rating.
Worth knowing
- Both played Mt. Blue: Camden Hills lost by 18, Skowhegan won by 5
Skowhegan this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Mt. Blue | W 26–21 |
| Fri 9/11 | at Cony | L 35–42 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Lawrence | L 13–29 |
| Fri 9/25 | vs. Brunswick | W 19–17 |
| Sat 10/3 | at Camden Hills | this game |
| Fri 10/9 | vs. Biddeford | |
| Fri 10/16 | vs. Messalonskee | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Fryeburg |
Camden Hills this season
| Fri 9/4 | at Messalonskee | L 15–20 |
| Sat 9/12 | vs. Mt. Blue | L 12–30 |
| Fri 9/18 | vs. Medomak Valley | W 21–0 |
| Sat 9/26 | at Fryeburg | L 10–42 |
| Sat 10/3 | vs. Skowhegan | this game |
| Thu 10/8 | at Cony | |
| Sat 10/17 | vs. Lawrence | |
| Fri 10/23 | at Brunswick |
Quick answers
When and where do Skowhegan and Camden Hills play?
Skowhegan plays at Camden Hills on Sat, Oct 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM, at Camden Hills Regional High School.
Who has the better chance, Skowhegan or Camden Hills?
It is close to even: our power rating gives Skowhegan an est. 54% chance to win, a projected margin of est. 2 points.
What is Skowhegan's record and Crabtree place?
Skowhegan is 2–2 and #3 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What is Camden Hills's record and Crabtree place?
Camden Hills is 1–3 and #8 of 8 in Class B North in the Crabtree standings, the MPA's playoff order, recomputed from every result.
What does this game mean for Camden Hills's playoff seeding?
With a win, Camden Hills finishes the week between #6 to #8 in Class B North; with a loss, between #8, depending on the week's other results.
Can Camden Hills still be #8 in Class B North if it loses?
Yes. Even with a loss, Camden Hills can finish the week #8. Our rating puts that at est. 100%.
What does this game mean for Skowhegan's playoff seeding?
With a win, Skowhegan finishes the week between #3 to #4 in Class B North; with a loss, between #4 to #5, depending on the week's other results.
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Win chances come from the niftiIQ power rating, a statistical model built on this season's results; the method is on the About page and its track record on Accuracy. Crabtree places use the MPA's own method, recomputed. Nothing here is advice.